Toledo Rockets defeat Western Michigan Broncos 45-38: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · NCAAF · Western Michigan Broncos 38, Toledo Rockets 45
The Toledo Rockets beat the Western Michigan Broncos 45-38 on Saturday, October 24, 2026, at Glass Bowl. The Toledo Rockets covered the spread as 2.5-point favorites. The game went over the closing total of 48.5, with 83 points combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rockets final score and game recap
The Toledo Rockets led 14-0 after the first quarter and 31-14 at halftime. The Western Michigan Broncos outscored the Toledo Rockets 24-14 in the second half. The Toledo Rockets led at the end of every quarter.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Aveion Chenault (Western Michigan Broncos): 6 catches for 105 yards, 1 receiving touchdown.
- Broc Lowry (Western Michigan Broncos): 12/29 passing for 207 yards, 2 touchdowns, 2 interceptions.
- John Alan Richter (Toledo Rockets): 29/41 passing for 391 yards, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception.
- CJ Miller (Toledo Rockets): 33 carries for 183 yards, 1 rushing touchdown.
Who covered the spread in Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rockets?
The Toledo Rockets covered the spread as 2.5-point favorites, winning by 7 points.
The spread opened at Toledo Rockets -3.5 and closed at Toledo Rockets -2.5.
Did Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rockets go over or under the total?
The game went over: 83 points combined against a closing total of 48.5, over by 34.5. 45 of the 83 points came in the first half.
The total opened at 45.5 and closed at 48.5.
How did AiQ's Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rockets predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
- Moneyline: the Toledo Rockets to win at -142, a win (+$70.42 on a $100 bet).
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rockets game prop results: team totals, first quarter and first half
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- Toledo Rockets team total 25.5: the over, paying -113, with 45 scored.
- First-quarter moneyline: Toledo Rockets won the first quarter, paying -145.
- Western Michigan Broncos team total 23.5: the over, paying -113, with 38 scored.
- First-half moneyline: Toledo Rockets won the first half, paying -142.
- First-half spread: Toledo Rockets -1.5 covered, paying -105.
- First-half total 23.5: the over, paying -118, with 45 points scored.
- First-quarter total 9.5: the over, paying -130, with 14 points scored.
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rockets odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Western Michigan Broncos at +120 and the Toledo Rockets at -145. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Toledo Rockets a 57% favorite. The Toledo Rockets won as the favorite at -145: $68.97 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Toledo Rockets, the best price before the game was -140 at FanDuel: priced below fair (−2.8% value).
The spread moved toward the Western Michigan Broncos between the open and the close, and the Toledo Rockets covered. The total moved up from 45.5 to 48.5, and the game went over.
Western Michigan Broncos and Toledo Rockets betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the Western Michigan Broncos 5-3 in the 2026 regular season (2-1 at home, 3-2 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 3 of 7 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 4 times and under 3 times.
This result left the Toledo Rockets 6-2 in the 2026 regular season (4-1 at home, 2-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 4 of 8 games with a closing line on file, with 1 push. Their games went over the closing total 6 times and under 2 times. That made it two straight wins for the Toledo Rockets.
What's next for Western Michigan Broncos and Toledo Rockets?
Next for the Western Michigan Broncos: the Bowling Green Falcons at home on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Next for the Toledo Rockets: at the Sacramento State Hornets on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.