Buffalo Bulls defeat Massachusetts Minutemen 25-18: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · NCAAF · Massachusetts Minutemen 18, Buffalo Bulls 25
Buffalo Bulls defeated Massachusetts Minutemen 25–18 in overtime Saturday at Broadview Stadium, covering the -6.5 spread while the total landed exactly on 43 for a push.
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Buffalo Bulls final score and game recap
Massachusetts built an early lead, scoring 7 points in the first quarter and adding 8 more in the second to reach 15–8 at halftime. Buffalo tied the game at 15–15 after the third quarter. The game remained tied 18–18 through regulation before Buffalo scored 7 points in overtime to secure the victory.
Elijah Faulkner led Massachusetts on the ground with 23 carries for 84 yards and a rushing touchdown. Logan Inagawa added 19 carries for 66 yards and another rushing score. For Buffalo, Messiah Burch carried 28 times for 172 yards. Quarterback Jason Wright completed 16 of 35 passes for 134 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.
Who covered the spread in Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Buffalo Bulls?
Buffalo Bulls covered the -6.5 spread, winning by 7 points. The line remained steady at -6.5 from open to close.
Did Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Buffalo Bulls go over or under the total?
The game resulted in a push, with 43 combined points landing exactly on the closing total. The total opened at 41.5 and moved up 1.5 points to close at 43.
How did AiQ's Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Buffalo Bulls predictions do?
AiQ finished 1–4 across all graded picks.
- Moneyline: Picked Buffalo Bulls at -243 – WIN (+$41.15 on a $100 bet)
- Player props: 0–4 – LOSS
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Buffalo Bulls player prop results
AiQ went 0–4 on player props, losing $400 on $100 wagers each.
- Max Dowling (Massachusetts Minutemen) anytime touchdown at +280 – actual 0 – LOSS
- Messiah Burch (Buffalo Bulls) anytime touchdown at +140 – actual 0 – LOSS
- Patrick Clacks III (Buffalo Bulls) anytime touchdown at +500 – actual 0 – LOSS
- Jason Wright anytime touchdown at +140 – actual 0 – LOSS
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Buffalo Bulls game prop results: team totals, first quarter and first half
- Massachusetts Minutemen team total 17.5: Over (paid -106); they scored 18
- First-quarter moneyline: Massachusetts Minutemen won the first quarter (paid +170)
- First-half moneyline: Massachusetts Minutemen won the first half (paid +170)
- First-half total 20.5: Over (paid -118); 23 points were scored
- First-quarter total 7.5: Over (paid +100); 10 points were scored
- First-half spread: Massachusetts Minutemen +3.5 covered (paid -105)
- Buffalo Bulls team total 24.5: Over (paid +100); they scored 25
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Buffalo Bulls odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Closing moneyline: Massachusetts Minutemen +199 | Buffalo Bulls -243. Sportsbook implied win probability (vig removed): Massachusetts Minutemen 32%, Buffalo Bulls 68%. The vig on the moneyline was 4.3%. AiQ's pre-game expected value for Buffalo at -270 was -0.8%, indicating the price was slightly unfavorable despite the model's confidence in the side.
Massachusetts Minutemen and Buffalo Bulls betting trends: 2026 season
Both teams enter their next games at 4–3. Massachusetts is 2–2 at home and 2–1 away/neutral, with a 4–3 record against the spread and 2 overs, 4 unders and 1 push on totals. The Minutemen have lost three straight.
Buffalo is 3–1 at home and 1–2 away/neutral, with a 3–4 record against the spread and 3 overs, 3 unders and 1 push on totals. The Bulls have won their last two games.
What's next for Massachusetts Minutemen and Buffalo Bulls?
Massachusetts travels to face UConn Huskies on Friday, October 23. Buffalo hosts Bowling Green Falcons on Saturday, October 24.