Western Michigan Broncos defeat Kent State Golden Flashes 38-7: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · NCAAF · Kent State Golden Flashes 7, Western Michigan Broncos 38
Western Michigan dominated Kent State 38-7 at Waldo Stadium, covering the -13.5 spread decisively and finishing over 43.5. AiQ went 2-4 on the night, nailing the moneyline but stumbling badly on player props.
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Western Michigan Broncos final score and game recap
Western Michigan scored on its opening drive and never looked back. The Broncos led 7-0 after the first quarter, then added two touchdowns in the second to reach 21-7 by halftime. Kent State's only score came in the second quarter. Western Michigan added a field goal in the third and two more touchdowns in the fourth to seal a 31-point victory.
Broc Lowry orchestrated the Broncos' offense efficiently, completing 18 of 26 passes for 257 yards and three touchdowns without an interception. Jalen Buckley carried the ground game with 16 carries for 105 yards. For Kent State, Wayne Harris was the lone bright spot, catching 11 passes for 164 yards. Dru DeShields threw for 223 yards with one touchdown and one interception on 19 completions in 35 attempts.
Who covered the spread in Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Western Michigan Broncos?
Western Michigan Broncos covered the -13.5 spread, winning by 31 points. The line held steady from open to close.
Did Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Western Michigan Broncos go over or under the total?
The game went over 43.5, finishing at 45 points. Scoring came in every quarter—7 in the first, 14 in the second, 3 in the third, and 14 in the fourth—finishing 1.5 points over the line.
How did AiQ's Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Western Michigan Broncos predictions do?
AiQ finished 2-4 across every graded pick.
- Moneyline: Picked Western Michigan Broncos at -602 – WIN (+$16.61 on a $100 bet)
- Player props: 1-4 – LOSS (net -$354.55 on $100 per pick)
AiQ nailed the moneyline but went 1-4 on player props, resulting in a net loss on those bets.
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Western Michigan Broncos player prop results
AiQ was 1-4 on player props, losing $354.55 overall.
- Broc Lowry (Western Michigan Broncos) anytime touchdown at -220; actual 1 – WIN
- Jalen Buckley (Western Michigan Broncos) anytime touchdown at -310; actual 0 – LOSS
- Mason King (Kent State Golden Flashes) anytime touchdown at +230; actual 0 – LOSS
- Aveion Chenault (Western Michigan Broncos) anytime touchdown at +265; actual 0 – LOSS
- Da'Realyst Clark (Kent State Golden Flashes) anytime touchdown at +340; actual 0 – LOSS
Only Lowry scored; the other four props failed to hit.
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Western Michigan Broncos game prop results: first quarter, first half and team totals
- First-quarter moneyline: Western Michigan Broncos won the first quarter (paid -270)
- First-half total 22.5: Over (paid -105); 28 points scored
- First-quarter total 7.5: Under (paid -120); 7 points scored
- First-half moneyline: Western Michigan Broncos won the first half (paid -380)
- Kent State Golden Flashes team total 14.5: Under (paid -128); they scored 7
- First-half spread: Western Michigan Broncos -7 covered (paid -118)
- Western Michigan Broncos team total 28.5: Over (paid -102); they scored 38
Western Michigan's early dominance sent the first-half total and their team total over, while Kent State's single touchdown left their team total comfortably under.
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Western Michigan Broncos odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline was Kent State Golden Flashes +433 and Western Michigan Broncos -602, implying win probabilities of 18% and 82% after vig removal, with a bookmaker margin of 4.5%. AiQ's pre-game expected value for the Broncos at -575 was -0.5%, indicating the price was slightly unfavorable despite the model's 85% confidence matching the market's vig-free estimate. No spread or total line movement occurred.
Kent State Golden Flashes and Western Michigan Broncos betting trends: 2026 season
Kent State sits at 2-4 overall, with a 2-1 home record but 0-3 away. Against the spread they are 3-3 in six games; their over-under record is 4-2. They have lost two straight after winning their previous game.
Western Michigan is 4-2 overall with a balanced 2-1 record both at home and away. They are 3-2 against the spread in five games and 3-2 on the over-under. The Broncos have won two straight.
What's next for Kent State Golden Flashes and Western Michigan Broncos?
Kent State hosts Akron on Saturday, October 24. Western Michigan travels to Toledo on the same day.