Bowling Green Falcons defeat Sacramento State Hornets 38-10: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · NCAAF · Sacramento State Hornets 10, Bowling Green Falcons 38
The Bowling Green Falcons beat the Sacramento State Hornets 38-10 on Saturday, October 10, 2026, at Doyt L. Perry Stadium. The Bowling Green Falcons covered the spread as 9.5-point favorites. The game went over the closing total of 43.5, with 48 points combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 0-1.
Sacramento State Hornets vs. Bowling Green Falcons final score and game recap
The Sacramento State Hornets led 3-0 after the first quarter. The Bowling Green Falcons won the second quarter 17-0 to lead 17-3 at halftime. They outscored the Sacramento State Hornets 21-7 in the second half.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Matt Coleman (Sacramento State Hornets): 6 catches for 85 yards, 1 receiving touchdown.
- Jackson Sharman (Sacramento State Hornets): 13/28 passing for 145 yards, 1 touchdown, 0 interceptions.
- Austyn Dendy (Bowling Green Falcons): 15 carries for 86 yards, 2 rushing touchdowns.
- Jay Kastantin (Bowling Green Falcons): 7 carries for 50 yards, 1 rushing touchdown.
Who covered the spread in Sacramento State Hornets vs. Bowling Green Falcons?
The Bowling Green Falcons covered the spread as 9.5-point favorites, winning by 28 points.
The spread opened at Bowling Green Falcons -7.5 and closed at Bowling Green Falcons -9.5.
Did Sacramento State Hornets vs. Bowling Green Falcons go over or under the total?
The game went over: 48 points combined against a closing total of 43.5, over by 4.5. 20 of the 48 points came in the first half.
The total opened at 44.5 and closed at 43.5.
How did AiQ's Sacramento State Hornets vs. Bowling Green Falcons predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 0-1.
- Moneyline: the Bowling Green Falcons to win at -325, a win (+$30.77 on a $100 bet).
- Player props: 0-1, -$100 on $100 a pick at the listed prices.
Sacramento State Hornets vs. Bowling Green Falcons player prop results
AiQ's player prop picks went 0-1 in this game, -$100 on $100 a pick at the listed prices.
- Nakai Amachree (Bowling Green Falcons): to score a touchdown at -150, a loss.
Sacramento State Hornets vs. Bowling Green Falcons game prop results: first quarter, team totals and first half
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- First-quarter moneyline: Sacramento State Hornets won the first quarter, paying +165.
- Bowling Green Falcons team total 26.5: the over, paying -115, with 38 scored.
- First-half total 22.5: the under, paying -112, with 20 points scored.
- First-quarter total 9.5: the under, paying -110, with 3 points scored.
- First-half spread: Bowling Green Falcons -6.5 covered, paying -105.
- First-half moneyline: Bowling Green Falcons won the first half, paying -278.
- Sacramento State Hornets team total 16.5: the under, paying -106, with 10 scored.
Sacramento State Hornets vs. Bowling Green Falcons odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Sacramento State Hornets at +265 and the Bowling Green Falcons at -345. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Bowling Green Falcons a 74% favorite. The Bowling Green Falcons won as the favorite at -345: $28.99 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Bowling Green Falcons, the price before the game was -325: priced below fair (−1.5% value).
The spread moved toward the Bowling Green Falcons between the open and the close, and they covered. The total moved down from 44.5 to 43.5, and the game went over.
Sacramento State Hornets and Bowling Green Falcons betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the Sacramento State Hornets 1-5 in the 2026 regular season (1-2 at home, 0-3 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 2 of 6 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 2 times and under 4 times. That made it four straight losses for the Sacramento State Hornets.
This result left the Bowling Green Falcons 2-4 in the 2026 regular season (1-2 at home, 1-2 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 3 of 6 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 4 times and under 2 times. That made it two straight wins for the Bowling Green Falcons.
What's next for Sacramento State Hornets and Bowling Green Falcons?
Next for the Sacramento State Hornets: the Ohio Bobcats at home on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Next for the Bowling Green Falcons: the Ball State Cardinals at home on Saturday, October 17, 2026.