Florida International Panthers defeat Buffalo Bulls 33-20: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · NCAAF · Buffalo Bulls 20, Florida International Panthers 33

Florida International Panthers defeated Buffalo Bulls 33–20, covered the -9.5 spread, and the game went over the 47.5 total.

Buffalo Bulls vs. Florida International Panthers final score and game recap

The Panthers established control early, scoring 14 points in the first quarter while Buffalo managed only a field goal. Florida International led 21–6 at halftime. Buffalo cut into the deficit in the third quarter with eight points, but Florida International answered with nine to reach 30–14. The fourth quarter saw both teams add scores—the Panthers three, the Bulls six—for a final of 33–20. Florida International's early dominance and consistent scoring in each period proved decisive.

Who covered the spread in Buffalo Bulls vs. Florida International Panthers?

Florida International Panthers covered the -9.5 spread, winning by 13 points. The spread opened at -10.5 and softened to -9.5, indicating money moved toward Buffalo. AiQ had taken Buffalo Bulls +10 with 58% confidence, which graded as a loss.

Did Buffalo Bulls vs. Florida International Panthers go over or under the total?

The game went over the 47.5 total, finishing at 53 points—5.5 over. AiQ had selected the under at 47.5 with 58% confidence, which graded as a loss.

How did AiQ's Buffalo Bulls vs. Florida International Panthers predictions do?

AiQ finished 1–2 across graded picks:

AiQ correctly identified the Panthers as the outright winner but missed both the spread and total.

Buffalo Bulls vs. Florida International Panthers odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The moneyline listed Buffalo Bulls +312 and Florida International Panthers -398, implying a 23% win probability for Buffalo and 77% for the Panthers after vig removal. The bookmaker's margin stood at 4.2%. A $100 wager on the Panthers at -398 returned $25.13. AiQ's pre-game expected value for the Panthers was -4.0% at -400, indicating the price was negative expected value despite the model's confidence in the side. The spread softened by one point toward Buffalo, yet the Panthers still covered.

Buffalo Bulls sit at 1–1 overall, with a 1–0 home record and 0–1 away/neutral. They are 0–2 against the spread in two games with recorded lines and split their over/under results at 1 over and 1 under. Florida International Panthers are also 1–1 overall, 1–0 at home and 0–1 away/neutral. They are 2–0 against the spread in two games with recorded lines and have a balanced over/under record of 1 over and 1 under. Both samples are limited to two games.

What's next for Buffalo Bulls and Florida International Panthers?

Buffalo Bulls travel to Penn State Nittany Lions on Saturday, September 19. Florida International Panthers head to Florida Atlantic Owls on Saturday, September 19.