Ball State Cardinals defeat Stony Brook Seawolves 41-17: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · NCAAF · Stony Brook Seawolves 17, Ball State Cardinals 41

Ball State Cardinals defeated Stony Brook Seawolves 41–17, covering the -13.5 spread. The combined 58 points cleared the 53-point total.

Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Ball State Cardinals final score and game recap

Ball State led 21–3 at halftime. The third quarter produced no scoring from either team. Ball State won 41–17.

Who covered the spread in Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Ball State Cardinals?

Ball State Cardinals covered the -13.5 spread, winning by 24 points. The spread opened at -15 and softened to -13.5 as money drifted toward Stony Brook. AiQ backed Stony Brook at +13.5 with 58% confidence and graded the pick as a loss.

Did Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Ball State Cardinals go over or under the total?

The game went over the 53-point total, finishing at 58 points. The total opened at 57 and dropped to 53. AiQ's over 52.5 pick, made with 58% confidence, was a winner.

How did AiQ's Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Ball State Cardinals predictions do?

AiQ finished 2–1 across graded picks:

AiQ correctly identified the moneyline favorite and the over but missed the spread.

Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Ball State Cardinals odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The closing moneyline was Stony Brook Seawolves +417 and Ball State Cardinals -558, implying win probabilities of 19% and 81% respectively after vig removal. The bookmaker margin was 4.1%. A $100 wager on Ball State at -558 returned $17.92.

At the best price of -550 on FanDuel, AiQ's moneyline expected value was -4.0%—a negative-EV price. The market implied 82% win probability (vig removed) versus AiQ's calibrated estimate of 81%, a negligible gap that still left the offered price unfavorable.

The spread softened from -15 to -13.5 on late money toward Stony Brook, yet the Cardinals still covered by 24 points. The total dropped four points from 57 to 53, aligning with the eventual over result.

Stony Brook is 0–1 overall, 0–1 against the spread, and 1–0 over/under. Ball State is 1–1 overall, 1–0 at home and 0–1 away/neutral, with a 1–0 ATS record and 1–0 over/under record.

What's next for Stony Brook Seawolves and Ball State Cardinals?

Ball State travels to face Liberty Flames on Saturday, September 19. Stony Brook's next opponent has not been disclosed.