Tulane Green Wave defeat South Alabama Jaguars 28-24: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · NCAAF · South Alabama Jaguars 24, Tulane Green Wave 28

Tulane Green Wave defeated South Alabama Jaguars 28–24 on Saturday at Yulman Stadium. South Alabama covered the spread as a +9.5 underdog, and the game went over the 48.5 total, finishing at 52 combined points.

South Alabama Jaguars vs. Tulane Green Wave final score and game recap

South Alabama struck first, building a 10–0 lead through the opening quarter. Tulane answered with 14 unanswered points in the second to take a 14–10 halftime edge. The third quarter saw both teams add a touchdown, keeping the score tight at 21–17 in Tulane's favor. In the fourth, each side scored again, with Tulane winning 28–24.

Who covered the spread in South Alabama Jaguars vs. Tulane Green Wave?

South Alabama covered at +9.5. Tulane was a –9.5 favorite but won by only 4, handing the Jaguars an against-the-spread victory despite the loss. The line held steady from open to close at Tulane –9.5. AiQ's pick of South Alabama +9.5 at 59% confidence graded as a win.

Did South Alabama Jaguars vs. Tulane Green Wave go over or under the total?

The game went over. The closing total was 48.5; the combined score of 52 beat the line by 3.5 points. The total opened at 49.5 and moved down one point to 48.5. AiQ had taken the under at 48.5 with 62% confidence, resulting in a loss.

How did AiQ's South Alabama Jaguars vs. Tulane Green Wave predictions do?

AiQ finished 2–1 across graded picks:

AiQ correctly identified the underdog cover and the moneyline winner but missed on total direction.

South Alabama Jaguars vs. Tulane Green Wave odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The closing moneyline was South Alabama +280 and Tulane –353. After vig removal, the implied probabilities were 25% for South Alabama and 75% for Tulane, with a bookmaker margin of 4.2%. AiQ's expected-value assessment placed the Tulane moneyline at –4.0% edge at –350, indicating negative expected value despite the model's confidence in the side. The spread and total lines remained unchanged throughout.

South Alabama sits 1–1 overall, 1–0 at home and 0–1 away/neutral. They are 2–0 against the spread in two games with recorded spreads and split 1–1 on the over/under in two games with recorded totals.

Tulane is also 1–1 overall, 1–0 at home and 0–1 away/neutral. They are 0–2 against the spread in two games with recorded spreads and split 1–1 on the over/under in two games with recorded totals.

Both samples are limited to two games, so trends should be viewed with caution.

What's next for South Alabama Jaguars and Tulane Green Wave?

South Alabama hosts Ohio Bobcats on Saturday, September 19. Tulane travels to Kansas State Wildcats on the same date.