New Mexico Lobos defeat Nevada Wolf Pack 31-3: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Fri, Nov 6, 2026 · NCAAF · New Mexico Lobos 31, Nevada Wolf Pack 3
The New Mexico Lobos beat the Nevada Wolf Pack 31-3 on Friday, November 6, 2026, at Mackay Stadium. The New Mexico Lobos covered the spread as 10-point favorites. The game went under the closing total of 38.5, with 34 points combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack final score and game recap
The New Mexico Lobos led 14-0 after the first quarter and 14-3 at halftime. They outscored the Nevada Wolf Pack 17-0 in the second half. They led at the end of every quarter.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Scottre Humphrey (New Mexico Lobos): 17 carries for 107 yards, 2 rushing touchdowns.
- Toa Fa'avae (New Mexico Lobos): 14/20 passing for 150 yards, 1 touchdown, 0 interceptions.
- Marshaun Brown (Nevada Wolf Pack): 2 catches for 56 yards.
- AJ Bianco (Nevada Wolf Pack): 14/31 passing for 106 yards, 0 touchdowns, 0 interceptions.
Who covered the spread in New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack?
The New Mexico Lobos covered the spread as 10-point favorites, winning by 28 points.
The spread opened at New Mexico Lobos -9.5 and closed at New Mexico Lobos -10.
Did New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack go over or under the total?
The game went under: 34 points combined against a closing total of 38.5, under by 4.5. 17 of the 34 points came in the first half.
The total opened at 37.5 and closed at 38.5.
How did AiQ's New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
- Moneyline: the New Mexico Lobos to win at -410, a win (+$24.39 on a $100 bet).
New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack game prop results: first half, team totals and first quarter
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- First-half spread: New Mexico Lobos -6.5 covered, paying -108.
- First-half total 19.5: the under, paying -105, with 17 points scored.
- Nevada Wolf Pack team total 13.5: the under, paying +102, with 3 scored.
- First-quarter total 7.5: the over, paying +135, with 14 points scored.
- First-half moneyline: New Mexico Lobos won the first half, paying -310.
- New Mexico Lobos team total 24.5: the over, paying -104, with 31 scored.
- First-quarter moneyline: New Mexico Lobos won the first quarter, paying -270.
New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the New Mexico Lobos at -425 and the Nevada Wolf Pack at +325. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the New Mexico Lobos a 77% favorite. The New Mexico Lobos won as the favorite at -425: $23.53 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the New Mexico Lobos, the best price before the game was -390 at Caesars: priced below fair (−0.7% value).
The spread moved toward the New Mexico Lobos between the open and the close, and they covered. The total moved up from 37.5 to 38.5, and the game went under.
New Mexico Lobos and Nevada Wolf Pack betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the New Mexico Lobos 8-1 in the 2026 regular season (4-0 at home, 4-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 7 of 9 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 3 times and under 6 times. That made it six straight wins for the New Mexico Lobos.
This result left the Nevada Wolf Pack 3-6 in the 2026 regular season (2-3 at home, 1-3 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 5 of 9 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 3 times and under 6 times. That made it two straight losses for the Nevada Wolf Pack.
What's next for New Mexico Lobos and Nevada Wolf Pack?
Next for the New Mexico Lobos: the UNLV Rebels at home on Saturday, November 14, 2026. Next for the Nevada Wolf Pack: at the Northern Illinois Huskies on Saturday, November 14, 2026.