New Mexico Lobos defeat North Dakota State Bison 21-16: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · NCAAF · North Dakota State Bison 16, New Mexico Lobos 21
The New Mexico Lobos beat the North Dakota State Bison 21-16 on Saturday, October 24, 2026, at University Stadium (NM). The New Mexico Lobos covered the spread as 4.5-point favorites. The game went under the closing total of 39.5, with 37 points combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
North Dakota State Bison vs. New Mexico Lobos final score and game recap
The New Mexico Lobos led 7-3 after the first quarter and 14-3 at halftime. The North Dakota State Bison outscored the New Mexico Lobos 13-7 in the second half. The New Mexico Lobos led at the end of every quarter.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Nathan Hayes (North Dakota State Bison): 17/33 passing for 198 yards, 2 touchdowns, 2 interceptions.
- Reis Kessel (North Dakota State Bison): 4 catches for 57 yards, 1 receiving touchdown.
- Kiefer Sibley (New Mexico Lobos): 13 carries for 91 yards, 1 rushing touchdown.
- Cade Keith (New Mexico Lobos): 5 catches for 53 yards.
Who covered the spread in North Dakota State Bison vs. New Mexico Lobos?
The New Mexico Lobos covered the spread as 4.5-point favorites, winning by 5 points.
The spread opened and closed at New Mexico Lobos -4.5.
Did North Dakota State Bison vs. New Mexico Lobos go over or under the total?
The game went under: 37 points combined against a closing total of 39.5, under by 2.5. 17 of the 37 points came in the first half.
The total opened at 41.5 and closed at 39.5.
How did AiQ's North Dakota State Bison vs. New Mexico Lobos predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
- Moneyline: the New Mexico Lobos to win at -192, a win (+$52.08 on a $100 bet).
North Dakota State Bison vs. New Mexico Lobos game prop results: first half, team totals and first quarter
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- First-half moneyline: New Mexico Lobos won the first half, paying -175.
- New Mexico Lobos team total 21.5: the under, paying -111, with 21 scored.
- First-quarter total 7.5: the over, paying +124, with 10 points scored.
- First-quarter moneyline: New Mexico Lobos won the first quarter, paying -154.
- First-half total 19.5: the under, paying -108, with 17 points scored.
- First-half spread: New Mexico Lobos -3 covered, paying -108.
- North Dakota State Bison team total 16.5: the under, paying +100, with 16 scored.
North Dakota State Bison vs. New Mexico Lobos odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the North Dakota State Bison at +160 and the New Mexico Lobos at -200. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the New Mexico Lobos a 63% favorite. The New Mexico Lobos won as the favorite at -200: $50 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the New Mexico Lobos, the best price before the game was -190 at BetMGM: priced below fair (−2.0% value).
The total moved down from 41.5 to 39.5, and the game went under.
North Dakota State Bison and New Mexico Lobos betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the North Dakota State Bison 6-2 in the 2026 regular season (4-0 at home, 2-2 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 3 of 8 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 2 times and under 6 times.
This result left the New Mexico Lobos 6-1 in the 2026 regular season (4-0 at home, 2-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 6 of 7 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 3 times and under 4 times. That made it four straight wins for the New Mexico Lobos.
What's next for North Dakota State Bison and New Mexico Lobos?
Next for the North Dakota State Bison: the UTEP Miners at home on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Next for the New Mexico Lobos: at the San José State Spartans on Saturday, October 31, 2026.