UNLV Rebels defeat North Dakota State Bison 13-7: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · NCAAF · North Dakota State Bison 7, UNLV Rebels 13
UNLV Rebels defeated North Dakota State Bison 13-7 on Saturday, October 10, at Allegiant Stadium. The Rebels covered the +2.5 spread as underdogs and the game finished under the 47.5 total, combining for just 20 points.
North Dakota State Bison vs. UNLV Rebels final score and game recap
The Rebels scored first, leading 7-0 after the opening quarter. North Dakota State answered with a touchdown in the second quarter to tie the game 7-7 at halftime. UNLV added a field goal in the third quarter for a 10-7 lead, then sealed the win with another field goal in the fourth.
Myles Mitchell led the Bison with 22 carries for 91 yards. Chris Kiel caught two passes for 30 yards and a receiving touchdown. For UNLV, Jai'Den Thomas rushed 22 times for 112 yards and Jackson Arnold added 19 carries for 60 yards.
Who covered the spread in North Dakota State Bison vs. UNLV Rebels?
UNLV covered as the underdog at +2.5. The spread opened at +3.5 for the Rebels and tightened to +2.5 by kickoff, with money flowing toward UNLV. The Rebels won outright by 6 points.
Did North Dakota State Bison vs. UNLV Rebels go over or under the total?
The game went under 47.5, with a combined 20 points leaving the total 27.5 points short.
How did AiQ's North Dakota State Bison vs. UNLV Rebels predictions do?
AiQ finished 1-9 across all graded picks. The model's moneyline pick on North Dakota State Bison at -143 lost. Player props went 1-8, netting a $300 loss on $100 per pick.
North Dakota State Bison vs. UNLV Rebels player prop results
Only the UNLV Rebels defense/special teams prop hit, recording an anytime touchdown at +500. All eight offensive player props missed:
- Taz Reddicks (UNLV Rebels) anytime touchdown +165 – LOSS
- DJ Scott (North Dakota State Bison) anytime touchdown -145 – LOSS
- Myles Mitchell (North Dakota State Bison) anytime touchdown +115 – LOSS
- UNLV Rebels D/ST anytime touchdown +500 – WIN
- North Dakota State Bison D/ST anytime touchdown +500 – LOSS
- Nathan Hayes (North Dakota State Bison) anytime touchdown +165 – LOSS
- Jackson Arnold (UNLV Rebels) anytime touchdown -145 – LOSS
- Jai'Den Thomas (UNLV Rebels) anytime touchdown -160 – LOSS
- Jackson Williams anytime touchdown +150 – LOSS
North Dakota State Bison vs. UNLV Rebels game prop results: team totals, first quarter and first half
- UNLV Rebels team total 23.5: Under (paid -118); they scored 13
- First-quarter moneyline: UNLV Rebels won the first quarter (paid -110)
- North Dakota State Bison team total 25.5: Under (paid -113); they scored 7
- First-half moneyline: tied, bets refunded
- First-half total 23.5: Under (paid +100); 14 points were scored
- First-quarter total 9.5: Under (paid +100); 7 points were scored
- First-half spread: UNLV Rebels +1.5 covered (paid -112)
North Dakota State Bison vs. UNLV Rebels odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The moneyline had North Dakota State Bison at -143 and UNLV Rebels at +119, implying a 56% win probability for the Bison and 44% for the Rebels after removing the 4.5% vig. The Rebels' +119 paid $119 on a $100 wager. AiQ's moneyline model estimated 55% for the Bison at a -130 price, matching the market's implied probability but at a negative expected value of -2.8%. The spread shifted one point toward UNLV, from +3.5 to +2.5, and that side ultimately covered.
North Dakota State Bison and UNLV Rebels betting trends: 2026 season
North Dakota State Bison are 5-1 overall, 3-0 at home and 2-1 on the road. They sit 3-3 against the spread in six games with recorded lines and have gone under the total five times in six games. Their last five results: loss, then four straight wins.
UNLV Rebels are 4-2 overall, 2-1 at home and 2-1 away. They stand 4-2 against the spread in six games with lines and are 1-5 on the over/under, hitting the under five times. The Rebels have won three straight.
What's next for North Dakota State Bison and UNLV Rebels?
North Dakota State travels to face New Mexico Lobos on Saturday, October 24. UNLV hosts Northern Illinois Huskies on Saturday, October 31.