Montana State Bobcats defeat Nevada Wolf Pack 20-7: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · NCAAF · Montana State Bobcats 20, Nevada Wolf Pack 7

Montana State Bobcats defeated Nevada Wolf Pack 20–7 on September 12 at Mackay Stadium, covering the -4.5 spread while the total went under 51.5.

Montana State Bobcats vs. Nevada Wolf Pack final score and game recap

Montana State scored 10 points in the first quarter and 7 points in the second to build a 17–0 halftime lead. The third quarter produced no scoring from either team. Nevada scored 7 points in the fourth quarter while Montana State added 3 points to finish 20–7.

Who covered the spread in Montana State Bobcats vs. Nevada Wolf Pack?

Montana State Bobcats covered the -4.5 spread, winning by 13 points. The line opened at Nevada +3 and shifted 1.5 points toward Montana State by close. AiQ's spread pick at -4.5 with 57% confidence won.

Did Montana State Bobcats vs. Nevada Wolf Pack go over or under the total?

The game finished under 51.5 with 27 combined points, leaving the total 24.5 points short of the over. The total opened at 50 and rose to 51.5. AiQ's over pick at 51.5 with 60% confidence lost.

How did AiQ's Montana State Bobcats vs. Nevada Wolf Pack predictions do?

AiQ finished 1–2 across graded picks:

Montana State Bobcats vs. Nevada Wolf Pack odds: sportsbook value and line movement

Bookmakers priced Montana State at -207 and Nevada at +169, implying win probabilities of 64% and 36% after vig removal, with a 4.6% bookmaker margin. A $100 wager on Montana State would have returned $48.31 profit. The spread moved 1.5 points toward Montana State, a shift that proved accurate as the Bobcats covered. AiQ's moneyline pick at +170 carried -2.1% expected value, an unfavorable price.

Montana State is 1–0 overall, 1–0 away, 1–0 against the spread and 0–1 over/under. Nevada is 1–1 overall, 1–1 at home, 0–1 against the spread and 0–1 over/under. Both records reflect only one game with a recorded line.

What's next for Montana State Bobcats and Nevada Wolf Pack?

Nevada travels to Middle Tennessee to face the Blue Raiders on Saturday, September 19. Montana State's next opponent has not been provided.