Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 7

Sat, Nov 7, 7:30 PM ET · Michie Stadium · NCAAF

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Air Force Falcons at Army Black Knights is on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at Michie Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Air Force Falcons 21, Army Black Knights 24. That is an average, not a pick.

The story

The Air Force Falcons have won 6 of their 8 games this season, winning four of the last five. The Army Black Knights have won 5 of their 8 games this season, winning three of the last five.

Matchups to watch

• Weakness against weakness through the air. The Air Force Falcons averaged 59.1 passing yards per game this season, the fewest of 138 FBS teams, and the Army Black Knights allowed 244.1 passing yards per game, the 28th most.
• An uphill climb through the air. The Army Black Knights averaged 71.1 passing yards per game this season, the 2nd fewest of 138 FBS teams, and the Air Force Falcons allowed 176.3 passing yards per game, the 18th fewest.

Moneyline

The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Army Black Knights a 60.2% chance to beat Air Force Falcons. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -160 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of -151 (−2.1% value).

Total

The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 44.5 points at 49.8% and the under at 50.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 45.1 points, sits on the 44.5 line.

Spread

The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Air Force Falcons +3 a 48.6% chance to cover and Army Black Knights -3 51.4%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.