Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 7
Sat, Nov 7, 4:00 PM ET · DATCU Stadium · NCAAF
Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.
Rice Owls at North Texas Mean Green is on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at DATCU Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Rice Owls 24, North Texas Mean Green 41. That is an average, not a pick.
The story
Two teams heading in opposite directions meet here. The Rice Owls have won 1 of their 8 games this season, losing the last seven. The North Texas Mean Green have won 6 of their 8 games this season, winning the last five. The Rice Owls come in with more rest: their last game was on October 24, 14 days before this one, while the North Texas Mean Green played nine days before.
Matchups to watch
- Weakness against weakness in scoring. The Rice Owls averaged 21.0 points per game this season, tied for the 22nd fewest of 138 FBS teams, and the North Texas Mean Green allowed 31.9 points per game, the 16th most.
- Mismatch in scoring. The North Texas Mean Green averaged 43.8 points per game this season, the 2nd most of 138 FBS teams, and the Rice Owls allowed 31.8 points per game, the 17th most.
Moneyline
The betting market, with the margin removed, gives North Texas Mean Green an 88.7% chance to beat Rice Owls. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -800 at BetMGM, is priced near the fair price of -787 (−0.2% value).
Total
The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 64.5 points at 50.5% and the under at 49.5%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 65.5 points, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
Spread
The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Rice Owls +17 a 49.8% chance to cover and North Texas Mean Green -17 50.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.
Trends in play
Recent totals lean over. The last 4 games involving the North Texas Mean Green went over the total.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.