UTSA Roadrunners vs Florida Atlantic Owls Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 5
Thu, Nov 5, 7:30 PM ET · Flagler Credit Union Stadium · NCAAF
Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.
UTSA Roadrunners at Florida Atlantic Owls is on Thursday, November 5, 2026, at Flagler Credit Union Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is UTSA Roadrunners 41, Florida Atlantic Owls 33. That is an average, not a pick.
The story
The UTSA Roadrunners have won 7 of their 8 games this season, winning the last five. The Florida Atlantic Owls have won 5 of their 8 games this season, winning three of the last five. The UTSA Roadrunners come in with more rest: their last game was on October 24, 12 days before this one, while the Florida Atlantic Owls played seven days before.
Matchups to watch
- Weakness against weakness on the ground. The Florida Atlantic Owls averaged 110.4 rushing yards per game this season, the 18th fewest of 138 FBS teams, and the UTSA Roadrunners allowed 183.6 rushing yards per game, the 24th most.
Moneyline
The betting market, with the margin removed, gives UTSA Roadrunners a 70.6% chance to beat Florida Atlantic Owls. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -245 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -240 (−0.5% value).
Total
The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 72.5 points at 50.7% and the under at 49.3%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 73.6 points, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
Spread
The betting market, with the margin removed, gives UTSA Roadrunners -7 a 49.0% chance to cover and Florida Atlantic Owls +7 51.0%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.
Trends in play
Everything points over on the total. The Florida Atlantic Owls went over the total in 5 of their last 6 games. The UTSA Roadrunners went over the total in 7 of their last 10 games.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.