South Florida Bulls defeat Kent State Golden Flashes 29-2: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · NCAAF · Kent State Golden Flashes 2, South Florida Bulls 29
South Florida Bulls defeated Kent State Golden Flashes 29–2, covering the −20.5 spread. The game finished under the 46-point total at 31 combined points.
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. South Florida Bulls final score and game recap
Kent State scored 2 points in the first quarter, then managed nothing else. South Florida built a 10–2 halftime lead, then extended it to 17–2 by the end of the third. Michael Van Buren Jr. completed 22 of 27 passes for 193 yards and one touchdown to lead the Bulls' offense. South Florida added 12 unanswered points in the fourth to seal a 29–2 victory at Raymond James Stadium on Saturday, October 17.
Who covered the spread in Kent State Golden Flashes vs. South Florida Bulls?
South Florida Bulls covered the −20.5 spread, winning by 27 points. The spread held steady from open to close at −20.5.
Did Kent State Golden Flashes vs. South Florida Bulls go over or under the total?
The game went under the 46 total, finishing with 31 points—15 points shy of the line. The total opened at 45.5 and moved up 0.5 to 46 at close.
How did AiQ's Kent State Golden Flashes vs. South Florida Bulls predictions do?
AiQ finished 1–2 across every graded pick.
- Moneyline: South Florida Bulls at −1617 — WIN (+$6.18 on a $100 bet)
- Player props: 0–2 (−$200)
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. South Florida Bulls player prop results
AiQ went 0–2 on player props, losing $200 total.
- D.J. Crowther (South Florida Bulls) anytime touchdown at −700; actual: 0 — LOSS
- Bryson Rodgers (South Florida Bulls) anytime touchdown at +200; actual: 0 — LOSS
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. South Florida Bulls game prop results: team totals, first quarter and first half
- Kent State Golden Flashes team total 12.5: Under (paid −104); they scored 2
- First-quarter moneyline: Kent State Golden Flashes won the first quarter (paid +340)
- South Florida Bulls team total 33.5: Under (paid −113); they scored 29
- First-half moneyline: South Florida Bulls won the first half (paid −900)
- First-quarter total 9.5: Under (paid +100); 2 points were scored
- First-half total 23.5: Under (paid +110); 12 points were scored
- First-half spread: Kent State Golden Flashes +11.5 covered (paid −115)
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. South Florida Bulls odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The moneyline listed Kent State at +927 and South Florida at −1617. After vig removal, the implied probabilities were 9% for Kent State and 91% for South Florida, with a bookmaker margin of 3.9%. The Bulls won and paid $6.18 on a $100 bet at −1617. AiQ's moneyline pick was South Florida at −1617, where the market implied 93% and AiQ's calibrated estimate also landed at 93%. At the best available price of −1400, this represented negative expected value despite the model's confidence in the outcome.
Kent State Golden Flashes and South Florida Bulls betting trends: 2026 season
Kent State sits 2–5 overall, 2–1 at home and 0–4 away or neutral. Against the spread in seven games with a recorded closing line, they are 3–4. They have gone over four times and under three times. Their last five results are L, L, L, W, L, extending a three-game losing streak.
South Florida stands 5–2 overall, 3–1 at home and 2–1 away or neutral. Against the spread in seven games with a recorded closing line, they are 3–4. They have hit the over three times and the under four times. Their last five results are W, L, L, W, W.
What's next for Kent State Golden Flashes and South Florida Bulls?
Kent State will host Akron Zips on Saturday, October 24. South Florida will host UAB Blazers on Saturday, October 31.