UAB Blazers defeat UL Monroe Warhawks 26-20: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · NCAAF · UL Monroe Warhawks 20, UAB Blazers 26

UAB Blazers won 26–20, with UL Monroe covering the +9 spread, while the game finished under the 54-point total.

UL Monroe Warhawks vs. UAB Blazers final score and game recap

UL Monroe scored 7 points in the first quarter for a 7–0 lead. UAB scored 10 points in the second quarter while UL Monroe added 10 points to lead 17–10 at halftime. Both teams scored 3 points in the third quarter, leaving UL Monroe ahead 20–13 heading into the fourth. UAB then outscored UL Monroe 13–0 in the final quarter to secure the 26–20 victory.

Who covered the spread in UL Monroe Warhawks vs. UAB Blazers?

UL Monroe covered as a +9 underdog, losing by only 6 points. The spread opened at –10 for UAB and softened to –9, indicating late money shifted toward Monroe. AiQ's pick of UAB –9.5 at 59% confidence resulted in a loss.

Did UL Monroe Warhawks vs. UAB Blazers go over or under the total?

The game finished at 46 points, eight under the 54-point closing total. UL Monroe scored 7–10–3–0 by quarter; UAB scored 0–10–3–13. The total moved down 1.5 points from the 55.5 opener. AiQ's over pick at 53.5 with 62% confidence lost.

How did AiQ's UL Monroe Warhawks vs. UAB Blazers predictions do?

AiQ finished 1–2 across graded picks:

The model correctly identified the winner but overestimated both the margin and scoring pace.

UL Monroe Warhawks vs. UAB Blazers odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The closing moneyline was UL Monroe +285 and UAB –357, implying a 75% win probability for the Blazers after vigorish removal. The bookmaker margin sat at 4.1%. AiQ's pre-game expected value for the moneyline was –2.9% at –335, meaning the price was unfavorable despite the model's confidence in the side. The spread softened by one point toward Monroe, and that side ultimately covered, aligning the market's late adjustment with the result.

UL Monroe is 0–2 overall, both losses on the road. Against the spread, they stand 1–1 in two games with a recorded closing spread. They are 1–1 on over/under totals and on a two-game losing streak.

UAB is 1–1 overall, unbeaten at home (1–0) and winless away (0–1). Their against-the-spread record is 1–1 in two games with a closing spread, and they are 1–1 on over/under totals.

What's next for UL Monroe Warhawks and UAB Blazers?

UL Monroe hosts SE Louisiana Lions on Saturday, September 19. UAB travels to face Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns the same day.