Texas State Bobcats defeat Colorado State Rams 66-27: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Thu, Oct 15, 2026 · NCAAF · Colorado State Rams 27, Texas State Bobcats 66
Texas State Bobcats defeated Colorado State Rams 66-27 on Thursday at UFCU Stadium, covering the -15 spread and going over 69.5. The Bobcats' ground game overwhelmed Colorado State from the opening quarter, with Torrance Burgess Jr. rushing for 224 yards and four touchdowns and Brad Jackson adding 181 yards and three scores.
Colorado State Rams vs. Texas State Bobcats final score and game recap
Texas State scored 21 points in the first quarter while Colorado State managed none, then added 24 more in the second quarter to reach 45 at halftime. Colorado State's K'saan Farrar threw for 282 yards and two touchdowns, and Jackson Harper caught five passes for 91 yards, but the Rams' offense could not keep pace. Texas State's rushing attack—Burgess Jr. and Jackson combined for 405 yards and seven touchdowns—controlled the line of scrimmage throughout. The Bobcats scored 21 more in the third quarter to seal the outcome at 66-27, with both teams scoring nothing in the fourth.
Who covered the spread in Colorado State Rams vs. Texas State Bobcats?
Texas State Bobcats covered the -15 spread, winning by 39 points. The line opened at -14 and moved one point toward the Bobcats as money shifted their way. AiQ's closing spread pick was -15.
Did Colorado State Rams vs. Texas State Bobcats go over or under the total?
The game went over 69.5, combining for 93 points and beating the line by 23.5. The total opened at 71 and closed at 69.5. Scoring surged in the first three quarters; both teams were held scoreless in the fourth.
How did AiQ's Colorado State Rams vs. Texas State Bobcats predictions do?
AiQ finished 7-6 across all graded picks.
- Moneyline: Texas State Bobcats at -658 – WIN (+$15.20 on a $100 bet)
- Spread: Texas State Bobcats -15 – WIN
- Total: Over 69.5 – WIN
- Player props: 6-6 – LOSS ($178.66 net loss on $100 per pick)
AiQ nailed the moneyline, spread, and total but went 6-6 on player props, resulting in a net loss on those tickets.
Colorado State Rams vs. Texas State Bobcats player prop results
AiQ's player prop record was 6-6, netting a $178.66 loss.
- Mel Brown anytime touchdown at -125: 0 – LOSS
- Durell Robinson anytime touchdown at -170: 2 – WIN
- Juice Vereen under 2.5 receptions at -108: 3 – LOSS
- Zechariah Sample under 2.5 receptions at -190: 1 – WIN
- Tommy Maher under 3.5 receptions at -164: 4 – LOSS
- Beau Sparks under 5.5 receptions at -142: 2 – WIN
- Chris Dawn Jr. anytime touchdown at -220: 0 – LOSS
- Beau Sparks anytime touchdown at -140: 0 – LOSS
- Chris Dawn Jr. over 4.5 receptions at -122: 5 – WIN
- Brad Jackson under 2.5 passing touchdowns at -128: 1 – WIN
- Jackson Harper over 3.5 receptions at -126: 5 – WIN
- Terrence Smith Jr. over 3.5 receptions at -126: 2 – LOSS
Colorado State Rams vs. Texas State Bobcats game prop results: team totals, first half and first quarter
- Colorado State Rams team total 27.5: Under (paid -118); they scored 27
- First-half total 36.5: Over (paid -118); 66 points scored
- First-quarter total 14.5: Over (paid -110); 21 points scored
- First-half moneyline: Texas State Bobcats won the first half (paid -535)
- First-quarter moneyline: Texas State Bobcats won the first quarter (paid -445)
- Texas State Bobcats team total 42.5: Over (paid -111); they scored 66
- First-half spread: Texas State Bobcats -9.5 covered (paid -120)
Colorado State Rams vs. Texas State Bobcats odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline was Colorado State Rams +483 and Texas State Bobcats -658, implying an 84% win probability for the Bobcats after removing the 4.0% vig. AiQ's calibrated estimate was 86%. The spread moved one point toward Texas State, from -14 to -15, and the favorite covered comfortably. The total slipped from 71 to 69.5, but the over remained attractive and hit by a wide margin.
Colorado State Rams and Texas State Bobcats betting trends: 2026 season
Colorado State Rams sit 2-4 overall, 2-2 at home and 0-2 away. They are 3-3 against the spread in six games with recorded lines and have hit the over in all six contests. Their last five results are L, L, L, L, W, marking a four-game losing streak. Texas State Bobcats are 3-3 overall, 3-1 at home and 0-2 away. They stand 2-3 against the spread in five games with a recorded spread and have gone over the total five times and under once in six games. Their last five results are W, L, W, W, L.
What's next for Colorado State Rams and Texas State Bobcats?
Colorado State hosts San Diego State Aztecs on Saturday, October 24. Texas State hosts Utah State Aggies on Saturday, October 24.