San Diego State Aztecs defeat Fresno State Bulldogs 26-23: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · NCAAF · Fresno State Bulldogs 23, San Diego State Aztecs 26
San Diego State defeated Fresno State 26–23 at Snapdragon Stadium, covering the +6 spread and the game went over the 46.5 total, finishing at 49 points.
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. San Diego State Aztecs final score and game recap
San Diego State opened with 10 points in the first quarter, then added 6 more in the second to lead 16–10 at halftime. Fresno State flipped the script in the third, scoring 7 unanswered points to take a 17–16 lead. The fourth quarter belonged to San Diego State, which outscored Fresno State 10–6 to secure the win.
Lucky Sutton led the Aztecs with 110 rushing yards on 18 carries. Jaylon Hawkins caught 6 passes for 84 yards and a touchdown. For Fresno State, Bryson Donelson rushed for 62 yards and a touchdown on 13 carries, while Jayden Mandal completed 13 of 25 passes for 141 yards without a touchdown.
Who covered the spread in Fresno State Bulldogs vs. San Diego State Aztecs?
San Diego State covered as a +6 underdog, winning outright by 3. The line moved 1.5 points in the Aztecs' favor as money shifted toward them, opening at +7.5 and closing at +6.
Did Fresno State Bulldogs vs. San Diego State Aztecs go over or under the total?
The game went over 46.5, finishing at 49 points. Scoring occurred in all four quarters: 10–0, 6–10, 0–7, and 10–6.
How did AiQ's Fresno State Bulldogs vs. San Diego State Aztecs predictions do?
AiQ finished 1–5 on this game.
- Moneyline: picked Fresno State Bulldogs at -250 – LOSS.
- Player props: 1–4 – LOSS.
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. San Diego State Aztecs player prop results
AiQ went 1–4 on player props, netting a -$245 loss on $100 per pick.
- San Diego State Aztecs Defense – anytime touchdown at +850 – actual 0 – LOSS.
- Jayden Mandal – anytime touchdown at +110 – actual 0 – LOSS.
- Julius Gillick – anytime touchdown at +155 – actual 2 – WIN.
- Josiah Freeman – anytime touchdown at +155 – actual 0 – LOSS.
- Ezekiel Avit – anytime touchdown at +220 – actual 0 – LOSS.
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. San Diego State Aztecs game prop results: first quarter, team totals and first half
- First-quarter moneyline: San Diego State Aztecs won the quarter (+145).
- Fresno State Bulldogs team total 26.5: Under – they scored 23 (-113).
- First-half total 23.5: Over – 26 points were scored (-102).
- First-half moneyline: San Diego State Aztecs won the half (+180).
- San Diego State Aztecs team total 20.5: Over – they posted 26 (-106).
- First-quarter total 9.5: Over – 10 points were logged (-120).
- First-half spread: San Diego State Aztecs +3.5 covered (-102).
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. San Diego State Aztecs odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The sportsbook priced Fresno State at -250 and San Diego State at +207, implying win probabilities of 69% and 31% after removing the 4.0% vig. San Diego State's upset victory paid +207 on a $100 wager. On AiQ's pick, the market implied 72% and AiQ's calibrated estimate was 72%, with the best available price at -260 representing negative expected value. The spread softened from +7.5 to +6 as bettors moved toward San Diego State, and that side ultimately covered.
Fresno State Bulldogs and San Diego State Aztecs betting trends: 2026 season
Fresno State sits at 4–3 overall, 2–1 at home and 2–2 away or neutral. Their against-the-spread record is 5–2, with 4 overs and 3 unders in seven games. The Bulldogs have lost two straight after winning three in a row.
San Diego State is 3-4 overall, strong at home (3-1) but winless on the road (0-3). Their against-the-spread record is 2-5, with 5 overs and 2 unders.
What's next for Fresno State Bulldogs and San Diego State Aztecs?
Fresno State hosts Oregon State Beavers on Saturday, October 31. San Diego State travels to Colorado State Rams on Saturday, October 24.