San Diego State Aztecs defeat Texas State Bobcats 31-29: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 3, 2026 · NCAAF · Texas State Bobcats 29, San Diego State Aztecs 31
The San Diego State Aztecs beat the Texas State Bobcats 31-29 on Saturday, October 3, 2026, at Snapdragon Stadium. The San Diego State Aztecs covered the spread as 9.5-point underdogs. The game went over the closing total of 57.5, with 60 points combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game lost, and its player props went 1-2.
Texas State Bobcats vs. San Diego State Aztecs final score and game recap
The Texas State Bobcats led 10-3 after the first quarter and 17-3 at halftime. The San Diego State Aztecs outscored the Texas State Bobcats 28-12 in the second half, 21-0 in the third quarter alone. They came back from a 14-point halftime deficit.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Brad Jackson (Texas State Bobcats): 27/43 passing for 372 yards, 3 touchdowns, 2 interceptions.
- Beau Sparks (Texas State Bobcats): 10 catches for 153 yards, 1 receiving touchdown.
- Josiah Lucas (San Diego State Aztecs): 21 carries for 111 yards, 2 rushing touchdowns.
- Jayden Denegal (San Diego State Aztecs): 15/23 passing for 109 yards, 0 touchdowns, 0 interceptions.
Who covered the spread in Texas State Bobcats vs. San Diego State Aztecs?
The San Diego State Aztecs covered the spread as 9.5-point underdogs and won outright, by 2 points.
The spread opened at Texas State Bobcats -6.5 and closed at Texas State Bobcats -9.5.
Did Texas State Bobcats vs. San Diego State Aztecs go over or under the total?
The game went over: 60 points combined against a closing total of 57.5, over by 2.5. 20 of the 60 points came in the first half.
The total opened at 59.5 and closed at 57.5.
How did AiQ's Texas State Bobcats vs. San Diego State Aztecs predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game lost, and its player props went 1-2.
- Moneyline: the Texas State Bobcats to win at -375, a loss (-$100 on a $100 bet).
- Player props: 1-2, -$153.49 on $100 a pick at the listed prices.
Texas State Bobcats vs. San Diego State Aztecs player prop results
AiQ's player prop picks went 1-2 in this game, -$153.49 on $100 a pick at the listed prices.
- Chris Dawn Jr. (Texas State Bobcats): to score a touchdown at -125, a loss.
- Davian Jackson (Texas State Bobcats): to score a touchdown at -215, a win.
- Brad Jackson (Texas State Bobcats): to score a touchdown at -175, a loss.
Texas State Bobcats vs. San Diego State Aztecs game prop results: team totals, first half and first quarter
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- San Diego State Aztecs team total 23.5: the over, paying -111, with 31 scored.
- First-half moneyline: Texas State Bobcats won the first half, paying -270.
- First-half spread: Texas State Bobcats -6.5 covered, paying -110.
- First-half total 29.5: the under, paying -112, with 20 points scored.
- First-quarter total 13.5: the under, paying -105, with 13 points scored.
- First-quarter moneyline: Texas State Bobcats won the first quarter, paying -245.
- Texas State Bobcats team total 34.5: the under, paying -118, with 29 scored.
Texas State Bobcats vs. San Diego State Aztecs odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Texas State Bobcats at -375 and the San Diego State Aztecs at +290. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Texas State Bobcats a 75% favorite. The San Diego State Aztecs won as the underdog at +290: $290 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Texas State Bobcats, the best price before the game was -345 at FanDuel: priced near fair (−0.4% value).
The spread moved toward the Texas State Bobcats between the open and the close, and the San Diego State Aztecs covered. The total moved down from 59.5 to 57.5, and the game went over.
Texas State Bobcats and San Diego State Aztecs betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the Texas State Bobcats 2-3 in the 2026 regular season (2-1 at home, 0-2 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 1 of 4 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 4 times and under 1 time.
This result left the San Diego State Aztecs 2-3 in the 2026 regular season (2-1 at home, 0-2 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 1 of 5 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 3 times and under 2 times.
What's next for Texas State Bobcats and San Diego State Aztecs?
Next for the Texas State Bobcats: the Colorado State Rams at home on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Next for the San Diego State Aztecs: at the Oregon State Beavers on Saturday, October 10, 2026.