Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 7

Sat, Nov 7, 7:30 PM ET · Michigan Stadium · NCAAF

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Michigan State Spartans at Michigan Wolverines is on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at Michigan Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Michigan State Spartans 14, Michigan Wolverines 27. That is an average, not a pick.

The story

The Michigan State Spartans have won 2 of their 8 games this season, losing the last six. The Michigan Wolverines have won 5 of their 8 games this season, winning two of the last five. The Michigan State Spartans come in with more rest: their last game was on October 24, 14 days before this one, while the Michigan Wolverines played seven days before.

Matchups to watch

• An uphill climb in total yards. The Michigan State Spartans averaged 291.4 yards per game this season, the 6th fewest of 138 FBS teams, and the Michigan Wolverines allowed 250.0 yards per game, the 3rd fewest.

Moneyline

The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Michigan Wolverines an 84.2% chance to beat Michigan State Spartans. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -550, is priced below the fair price of -533 (−0.5% value).

Total

The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 39.5 points at 50.3% and the under at 49.7%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 40.5 points, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.

Spread

The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Michigan State Spartans +13.5 a 49.7% chance to cover and Michigan Wolverines -13.5 50.3%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play

Recent results against the spread back the Michigan State Spartans, the underdog here. The Michigan Wolverines failed to cover the spread in 5 of 6 games as favorites this season.

Everything points under on the total. The Michigan Wolverines went under the total in 5 of 6 home games this season. The Michigan State Spartans went under the total in 6 of their last 8 games.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.