Washington Huskies defeat Purdue Boilermakers 38-26: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Fri, Oct 16, 2026 · NCAAF · Washington Huskies 38, Purdue Boilermakers 26
Washington Huskies 38, Purdue Boilermakers 26; Washington covered the +3 spread; the total went over 50.5.
Washington Huskies vs. Purdue Boilermakers final score and game recap
Washington built a 24-17 halftime lead, then pulled away in the second half to win 38-26 on Friday at Ross-Ade Stadium. The Huskies scored 17 points in the second quarter alone while holding Purdue to 14, establishing control they would not relinquish. Purdue closed the gap to 24-20 in the third, then Washington scored 14 points in the fourth while Purdue added 6.
Elijah Brown completed 21 of 27 passes for 302 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions. Trey Cooley rushed for 113 yards and a touchdown on eight carries. Purdue's Ryan Browne threw for 273 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Asaad Waseem led the Boilermakers with nine catches for 116 yards.
Who covered the spread in Washington Huskies vs. Purdue Boilermakers?
Washington covered as a +3 underdog, winning by 12 points. The spread opened at -3.5 for Purdue and closed at -3, with late money moving toward the Huskies. The result was an outright upset.
Did Washington Huskies vs. Purdue Boilermakers go over or under the total?
The game went over 50.5. Combined points totaled 64, an over by 13.5. The total opened at 52 and declined 1.5 points to the closing number.
How did AiQ's Washington Huskies vs. Purdue Boilermakers predictions do?
AiQ finished 13-15 across all graded picks.
- Moneyline: Purdue Boilermakers at -160 – LOSS.
- Spread: Washington Huskies +3 – WIN.
- Total: Over 50.5 – WIN.
- Player props: 13-14 – LOSS.
The model correctly identified the spread and total but missed the moneyline and most player prop selections.
Washington Huskies vs. Purdue Boilermakers player prop results
AiQ went 13-14 on player props, losing $380.26 on $100 per pick at listed odds.
- Asaad Waseem over 53.5 receiving yards at -110; actual 116 – WIN.
- Dezmen Roebuck anytime touchdown at +110; actual 1 – WIN.
- Decker DeGraaf under 2.5 receptions at -143; actual 1 – WIN.
- George Burhenn anytime touchdown at +700; actual 0 – LOSS.
- Chris Lawson over 52.5 receiving yards at -112; actual 103 – WIN.
- Chris Lawson over 3.5 receptions at -148; actual 6 – WIN.
- Xavier Townsend over 44.5 receiving yards at -112; actual 55 – WIN.
- Chauncey Magwood under 36.5 receiving yards at -112; actual 15 – WIN.
- Fame Ijeboi under 11.5 receiving yards at -110; actual 23 – LOSS.
- Baron Naone anytime touchdown at +350; actual 0 – LOSS.
- Dezmen Roebuck over 5.5 receptions at -118; actual 5 – LOSS.
- Brian Bonner Jr. under 57.5 rushing yards at -112; actual 64 – LOSS.
Washington Huskies vs. Purdue Boilermakers game prop results: first quarter, first half and team totals
- First-quarter moneyline: Washington Huskies won the first quarter (paid +124).
- First-half moneyline: Washington Huskies won the first half (paid +114).
- First-half total 24.5: Over (paid -110); 41 points were scored.
- First-quarter total 10.5: Under (paid -145); 10 points were scored.
- First-half spread: Washington Huskies +2.5 covered (paid -108).
- Purdue Boilermakers team total 26.5: Under (paid -106); they finished with 26.
- Washington Huskies team total 23.5: Over (paid -128); they finished with 38.
Washington Huskies vs. Purdue Boilermakers odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The moneyline closed at Washington Huskies +134 and Purdue Boilermakers -160. After removing vigorish, the implied win probabilities were 41 percent for Washington and 59 percent for Purdue, with a 4.3 percent bookmaker margin. A $100 wager on the Huskies at +134 would have profited $134. AiQ's moneyline expectation was priced at -159, offering negative expected value. The model's calibrated win probability matched the market's 60 percent estimate, but the price did not justify a play.
Washington Huskies and Purdue Boilermakers betting trends: 2026 season
Washington stands 4-3 overall, 3-2 at home and 1-1 away or neutral. Against the spread, they are 2-5 in seven games with recorded lines. On the over-under, they are 4-3 in the same sample. Their last five results read W, L, L, L, W.
Purdue is 3-4 overall, 2-3 at home and 1-1 away or neutral. They are 3-4 against the spread and 6-1 on the over-under in seven games with closing lines. Their last five results read L, W, W, L, L.
What's next for Washington Huskies and Purdue Boilermakers?
Washington Huskies play Nebraska Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 31. Purdue Boilermakers play Penn State Nittany Lions on Saturday, October 31.