Ohio State Buckeyes defeat Indiana Hoosiers 19-15: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · NCAAF · Ohio State Buckeyes 19, Indiana Hoosiers 15
Ohio State defeated Indiana 19–15 on Saturday at Memorial Stadium, covering the -2.5 spread while the game finished under 49.5 total points.
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers final score and game recap
Ohio State scored three points in the first quarter to lead 3-0. Ohio State extended its lead to 10-7 by halftime. Ohio State scored three points in the third quarter to extend its advantage to 13-7, but Indiana stayed within striking distance.
Julian Sayin completed 15 of 29 passes for 235 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions for Ohio State. Jeremiah Smith caught four passes for 68 yards and a touchdown. Indiana's Josh Hoover was efficient, completing 20 of 40 passes for 296 yards and a touchdown, while Charlie Becker led the receiving corps with nine catches for 165 yards.
Who covered the spread in Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers?
Ohio State Buckeyes covered the -2.5 spread. The Buckeyes entered as 2.5-point favorites and won by four, beating the closing line. The spread opened at Indiana +3.5 and closed at Indiana +2.5, a one-point shift toward the Hoosiers.
Did Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers go over or under the total?
The game finished under the 49.5 total with 34 combined points, 15.5 points below the line. Scoring was sparse throughout: Ohio State 3–7–3–6, Indiana 0–7–0–8. The total opened at 51 and declined to 49.5, a 1.5-point drop that reflected market expectations of a low-scoring affair.
How did AiQ's Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers predictions do?
AiQ finished 14–18 across all graded picks on this game.
- Moneyline: Ohio State Buckeyes at -146 — WIN (+$68.49 on a $100 bet)
- Player props: 13–18 — LOSS
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers player prop results
AiQ's player-prop record was 13–18, netting a -$693.92 loss on $100 per pick.
- Nate Roberts over 14.5 receiving yards at -112; actual 18 — WIN
- Devin McCuin over 36.5 receiving yards at -116; actual 23 — LOSS
- Devin McCuin over 2.5 receptions at -152; actual 2 — LOSS
- Bo Jackson over 75.5 rushing yards at -112; actual 56 — LOSS
- Bo Jackson under 12.5 receiving yards at -112; actual 2 — WIN
- Jeremiah Smith anytime touchdown at -220; actual 1 — WIN
- Josh Hoover over 213.5 passing yards at -112; actual 296 — WIN
- Nick Marsh over 70.5 receiving yards at -112; actual 57 — LOSS
- Jeremiah Smith over 122.5 receiving yards at -112; actual 68 — LOSS
- Nick Marsh anytime touchdown at +120; actual 1 — WIN
- Lee Beebe Jr. over 54.5 rushing yards at -112; actual 24 — LOSS
- Turbo Richard over 54.5 rushing yards at -110; actual 46 — LOSS
Most individual performances fell short of the projected lines, with Hoover's passing yardage a notable exception.
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers game prop results: team totals, first quarter and first half
- Indiana Hoosiers team total 23.5: Under (paid -111); they scored 15
- Ohio State Buckeyes team total 25.5: Under (paid -111); they scored 19
- First-quarter moneyline: Ohio State Buckeyes won the first quarter (paid -130)
- First-quarter total 9.5: Under (paid +105); 3 points scored
- First-half total 23.5: Under (paid +105); 17 points scored
- First-half moneyline: Ohio State Buckeyes won the first half (paid -125)
- First-half spread: Ohio State Buckeyes -0.5 covered (paid -108)
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline was Ohio State Buckeyes -146 and Indiana Hoosiers +122, implying a 57% win probability for the Buckeyes after vig removal. The bookmaker's vig was 4.4%. AiQ's pre-game expected value for the moneyline was –1.7% at -144, indicating the price was slightly unfavorable despite the model's confidence in the Buckeyes. The spread shifted one point toward Indiana, yet Ohio State still covered. The total declined from 51 to 49.5, reflecting market anticipation of a lower-scoring game, which proved accurate.
Ohio State Buckeyes and Indiana Hoosiers betting trends: 2026 season
Ohio State is 6–1 overall, 4–0 at home and 2–1 away/neutral. Against the spread in six games with a recorded closing line, the Buckeyes are 5–1. On the total in those same six games, they are 3–3. Ohio State has won five straight.
Indiana is also 6–1 overall, 4–1 at home and 2–0 away/neutral. Against the spread in seven games with a recorded closing line, the Hoosiers are 1–6. On the total in seven games, they are 3–4. Indiana's last five results are loss, win, win, win, win.
What's next for Ohio State Buckeyes and Indiana Hoosiers?
The Ohio State Buckeyes travel to face the USC Trojans on Saturday, October 31. The Indiana Hoosiers play the Michigan Wolverines on Saturday, October 24.