Purdue Boilermakers defeat Minnesota Golden Gophers 41-13: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · NCAAF · Minnesota Golden Gophers 13, Purdue Boilermakers 41

Purdue Boilermakers defeated Minnesota Golden Gophers 41–13 on Saturday at Ross-Ade Stadium, covering the +2.5 spread as an underdog and the game went over the 49-point total to 54 combined points.

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Purdue Boilermakers final score and game recap

Purdue controlled the game from the opening kickoff. The Boilermakers scored 10 points in the first quarter and added 10 more in the second to build a 20–3 halftime lead. Minnesota scored 10 points in the third quarter to reach 13, while Purdue added 7 more in the quarter to reach 27. The fourth quarter belonged entirely to Purdue, which scored 14 unanswered points to seal the blowout.

Drake Lindsey completed 22 of 39 passes for 248 yards, one touchdown and one interception for Minnesota. Jalen Smith caught three passes for 89 yards and a receiving touchdown. Purdue's ground game was dominant: Fame Ijeboi rushed 31 times for 195 yards and three touchdowns, while Ryan Browne added 81 yards and another score on seven carries.

Who covered the spread in Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Purdue Boilermakers?

Purdue Boilermakers covered the +2.5 spread as the underdog, winning by 28 points. The line did not move from open to close.

Did Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Purdue Boilermakers go over or under the total?

The game went over the 49-point total, finishing at 54 points. The total opened at 50.5 and closed at 49, moving down 1.5 points.

How did AiQ's Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Purdue Boilermakers predictions do?

AiQ finished 13–9 across all graded picks on this game.

Moneyline: Picked Minnesota Golden Gophers at –142, loss.
Player props: 13–8 record, net profit +$814.47 on $100 per pick.

The market implied 57% win probability for Minnesota (vig removed), matching AiQ's calibrated estimate, but the -142 price offered negative expected value at -2.4%.

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Purdue Boilermakers player prop results

AiQ posted a 13–8 record on player props, netting +$814.47 on $100 per pick at listed prices.

Asaad Waseem over 64.5 receiving yards at –112; actual 19 – loss.
Javon Tracy (Minnesota Golden Gophers) over 3.5 receptions at –134; actual 5 – win.
Ryan Browne (Purdue Boilermakers) under 247.5 passing yards at –112; actual 159 – win.
Ryan Browne (Purdue Boilermakers) under 1.5 passing touchdowns at –148; actual 1 – win.
Darius Taylor (Minnesota Golden Gophers) under 68.5 rushing yards at –112; actual 15 – win.
Darius Taylor (Minnesota Golden Gophers) over 2.5 receptions at –135; actual 7 – win.
Drake Lindsey (Minnesota Golden Gophers) under 229.5 passing yards at –112; actual 248 – loss.
Javon Tracy (Minnesota Golden Gophers) under 47.5 receiving yards at –112; actual 75 – loss.
Chauncey Magwood (Purdue Boilermakers) under 39.5 receiving yards at –112; actual 29 – win.
Xavier Townsend under 44.5 receiving yards at –112; actual 8 – win.
Darius Taylor (Minnesota Golden Gophers) over 19.5 receiving yards at –114; actual 51 – win.
Fame Ijeboi (Purdue Boilermakers) under 67.5 rushing yards at –110; actual 195 – loss.

Nine additional picks contributed to the 13–8 record.

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Purdue Boilermakers game prop results: first half, first quarter and team totals

First-half total 24.5: Under (paid –112); 23 points scored.
First-quarter total 9.5: Over (paid –140); 10 points scored.
First-half moneyline: Purdue Boilermakers won the first half (paid +114).
First-half spread: Purdue Boilermakers +0.5 covered (paid –112).
First-quarter moneyline: Purdue Boilermakers won the first quarter (paid +105).
Minnesota Golden Gophers team total 25.5: Under (paid –111); they scored 13.
Purdue Boilermakers team total 23.5: Over (paid –115); they scored 41.

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Purdue Boilermakers odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The closing moneyline was Minnesota Golden Gophers –142 and Purdue Boilermakers +118, implying a 56% win probability for Minnesota and 44% for Purdue after vig removal. The bookmaker's vig was 4.5%. Purdue's +118 upset victory turned a $100 wager into a $118 profit. AiQ's moneyline pick at –139 (best at Caesars) carried –2.4% expected value, indicating the market price was unfavorable despite matching AiQ's 57% calibrated win probability estimate.

Minnesota Golden Gophers and Purdue Boilermakers betting trends: 2026 season

Minnesota Golden Gophers are 4–2 overall, 3–1 at home and 1–1 away/neutral. They are 4–2 against the spread in six games with a recorded closing spread and have split their six totals evenly at 3 overs and 3 unders. Their last five results are L, W, W, W, L.

Purdue Boilermakers sit at 3–3 overall, 2–2 at home and 1–1 away/neutral. They are 3–3 against the spread in six games with a recorded closing spread and are 5–1 on the over/under in six games with a recorded total. Their last five results are W, W, L, L, L, and they are on a two-game winning streak.

What's next for Minnesota Golden Gophers and Purdue Boilermakers?

Minnesota will host Iowa Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24. Purdue travels to face Penn State Nittany Lions on Saturday, October 31.