SMU Mustangs defeat Virginia Tech Hokies 51-28: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Fri, Nov 6, 2026 · NCAAF · Virginia Tech Hokies 28, SMU Mustangs 51
The SMU Mustangs beat the Virginia Tech Hokies 51-28 on Friday, November 6, 2026, at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. The SMU Mustangs covered the spread as 5.5-point favorites. The game went over the closing total of 57, with 79 points combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. SMU Mustangs final score and game recap
The SMU Mustangs led 10-0 after the first quarter and 23-14 at halftime. They outscored the Virginia Tech Hokies 28-14 in the second half, 14-0 in the third quarter alone. They led at the end of every quarter.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Jeffrey Overton Jr. (Virginia Tech Hokies): 13 carries for 123 yards, 2 rushing touchdowns.
- Ethan Grunkemeyer (Virginia Tech Hokies): 28/38 passing for 291 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception.
- Kevin Jennings (SMU Mustangs): 24/32 passing for 350 yards, 4 touchdowns, 1 interception.
- Yamir Knight (SMU Mustangs): 6 catches for 103 yards, 3 receiving touchdowns.
Who covered the spread in Virginia Tech Hokies vs. SMU Mustangs?
The SMU Mustangs covered the spread as 5.5-point favorites, winning by 23 points.
The spread opened at SMU Mustangs -6 and closed at SMU Mustangs -5.5.
Did Virginia Tech Hokies vs. SMU Mustangs go over or under the total?
The game went over: 79 points combined against a closing total of 57, over by 22. 37 of the 79 points came in the first half.
The total opened at 56.5 and closed at 57.
How did AiQ's Virginia Tech Hokies vs. SMU Mustangs predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
- Moneyline: the SMU Mustangs to win at -205, a win (+$48.78 on a $100 bet).
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. SMU Mustangs game prop results: first quarter, first half and team totals
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- First-quarter total 13.5: the under, paying -125, with 10 points scored.
- First-half total 28.5: the over, paying -102, with 37 points scored.
- Virginia Tech Hokies team total 25.5: the over, paying -111, with 28 scored.
- First-half moneyline: SMU Mustangs won the first half, paying -185.
- SMU Mustangs team total 31.5: the over, paying -104, with 51 scored.
- First-quarter moneyline: SMU Mustangs won the first quarter, paying -195.
- First-half spread: SMU Mustangs -3.5 covered, paying -108.
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. SMU Mustangs odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Virginia Tech Hokies at +175 and the SMU Mustangs at -215. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the SMU Mustangs a 65% favorite. The SMU Mustangs won as the favorite at -215: $46.51 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the SMU Mustangs, the price before the game was -205: priced below fair (−0.6% value).
The spread moved toward the Virginia Tech Hokies between the open and the close, and the SMU Mustangs covered. The total moved up from 56.5 to 57, and the game went over.
Virginia Tech Hokies and SMU Mustangs betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the Virginia Tech Hokies 6-3 in the 2026 regular season (3-1 at home, 3-2 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 5 of 9 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 6 times and under 3 times.
This result left the SMU Mustangs 7-2 in the 2026 regular season (6-0 at home, 1-2 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 4 of 8 games with a closing line on file, with 1 push. Their games went over the closing total 4 times and under 4 times.
What's next for Virginia Tech Hokies and SMU Mustangs?
Next for the Virginia Tech Hokies: the Stanford Cardinal at home on Friday, November 13, 2026. Next for the SMU Mustangs: the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at home on Saturday, November 14, 2026.