Wake Forest Demon Deacons defeat California Golden Bears 41-7: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · NCAAF · Wake Forest Demon Deacons 41, California Golden Bears 7

Wake Forest Demon Deacons routed California Golden Bears 41–7, covered the -10 spread, and the game finished under the 54.5 total.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. California Golden Bears final score and game recap

Wake Forest's offense overwhelmed California from the opening kickoff at California Memorial Stadium. The Demon Deacons scored 14 points in the first quarter and 20 more in the second to build a 34–0 halftime lead, then scored 7 points in the third quarter before California finally scored a touchdown in the fourth.

Gio Lopez completed 16 of 23 passes for 267 yards and four touchdowns. Dominick Barry caught four passes for 102 yards and three receiving touchdowns. California's Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele went 15 of 18 for 110 yards and one touchdown, while Mason Mini caught five passes for 49 yards and one score.

Who covered the spread in Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. California Golden Bears?

Wake Forest Demon Deacons covered the -10 spread, winning by 34 points. The spread opened at California Golden Bears +9 and closed at +10, with late money moving toward Wake Forest.

Did Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. California Golden Bears go over or under the total?

The game went under the 54.5 total, finishing at 48 points. Wake Forest's scoring came in bursts—14 in the first quarter, 20 in the second, 7 in the third, and 0 in the fourth—while California scored 7 in the fourth quarter alone. The total opened at 53.5 and moved up to 54.5.

How did AiQ's Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. California Golden Bears predictions do?

AiQ was 4–0 across every graded pick.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. California Golden Bears player prop results

AiQ was 3–0 on player props, netting +$200.37.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. California Golden Bears game prop results: team totals, first half and first quarter

Wake Forest's early dominance drove most prop outcomes, with the Demon Deacons surpassing their team total and California falling well short of theirs.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. California Golden Bears odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The moneyline closed at Wake Forest Demon Deacons -428 and California Golden Bears +327, implying a 78 percent win probability for Wake Forest after vig removal. The bookmaker's margin sat at 4.5 percent. AiQ's internal model priced Wake Forest at -390, representing -0.6 percent expected value—a price slightly worse than fair value despite the side being favored. The market and AiQ's calibrated estimate both converged on 79 percent (vig removed) for Wake Forest. The spread moved one point toward Wake Forest, and the Demon Deacons covered comfortably.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons sit 6–1 overall, 2–1 at home and 4–0 away or neutral. They are 5–2 against the spread in seven games with a recorded closing spread and 3–4 on the over/under. Their last five results are W, W, W, W, L, giving them a four-game winning streak.

California Golden Bears are 3–4 overall, 2–3 at home and 1–1 away or neutral. They are 2–5 against the spread in seven games with a recorded closing spread and 2–5 on the over/under, hitting the under five times. Their last five outcomes are L, W, L, L, W.

What's next for Wake Forest Demon Deacons and California Golden Bears?

Wake Forest Demon Deacons will host the Virginia Cavaliers on Saturday, October 31. California Golden Bears travel to face the SMU Mustangs on Saturday, October 24.