Stanford Cardinal defeat Elon Phoenix 34-7: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · NCAAF · Elon Phoenix 7, Stanford Cardinal 34

Stanford Cardinal beat Elon Phoenix 34–7, covering the –34.5 spread, and the game finished under the 55.5 total at 41 points.

Elon Phoenix vs. Stanford Cardinal final score and game recap

Stanford dominated from the opening kickoff at Stanford Stadium on Saturday, October 17. The first quarter produced no scoring, but the Cardinal struck twice in the second quarter to lead 14–0 at halftime. Stanford added another 14 points in the third quarter, stretching its advantage to 28–0 before Elon scored its lone touchdown in the fourth.

Micah Ford led Stanford's ground attack with 179 rushing yards and four touchdowns on 19 carries. Davis Warren completed 27 of 39 passes for 279 yards and one touchdown without a turnover. Kamerin McDowell-Moore paced the Phoenix with 164 rushing yards on 21 carries and one touchdown, accounting for nearly all of Elon's offensive production. TJ Crews IV completed 8 of 27 passes for 52 yards.

Who covered the spread in Elon Phoenix vs. Stanford Cardinal?

Elon Phoenix covered the spread as a +34.5 underdog, losing by 27 points. Stanford was favored by 34.5 but won by only 27, leaving Elon on the right side of the line.

Did Elon Phoenix vs. Stanford Cardinal go over or under the total?

The game went under the 55.5 total, finishing at 41 points. Stanford scored 14 points in each of the second and third quarters, then added 6 in the fourth. Elon's single touchdown came in the fourth quarter. The combined total fell 14.5 points short of the over/under.

How did AiQ's Elon Phoenix vs. Stanford Cardinal predictions do?

AiQ posted a perfect 1–0 record on this game.

Elon Phoenix vs. Stanford Cardinal game prop results: first quarter, team totals and first half

Elon Phoenix vs. Stanford Cardinal odds: sportsbook value and line movement

AiQ entered the contest with a moneyline expected value of +0.1% at –10000 on FanDuel, the best price available. That price implied a 99% win probability after removing the vig, matching AiQ's calibrated estimate of 99% for Stanford. Because the market priced Stanford as a near-certainty, the line offered minimal upside, yet the model still deemed it a positive-expected-value selection.

Elon Phoenix sits 0–1 overall and 0–1 away/neutral after this opening loss. Stanford Cardinal is 3–4 overall, 3–1 at home and 0–3 away/neutral. In five games with a recorded closing spread, Stanford is 2–3 against the spread. In five games with a recorded total, the Cardinal have gone over four times and under once.

What's next for Elon Phoenix and Stanford Cardinal?

Stanford will host the NC State Wolfpack on Friday, October 23. Elon's next opponent has not been disclosed.