Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets defeat Duke Blue Devils 28-25: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · NCAAF · Duke Blue Devils 25, Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 28
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets defeated Duke Blue Devils 28–25 on Saturday at Bobby Dodd Stadium, covering the +5 spread while the game went over 45.5, finishing at 53 points.
Duke Blue Devils vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets final score and game recap
Georgia Tech's balanced attack—seven points in each quarter—proved steadier than Duke's uneven output. The Yellow Jackets scored first, leading 7–0 after one. Duke answered with ten points in the second quarter while Georgia Tech added seven to reach 14–10 at halftime. The third quarter tightened the margin: Duke scored eight to make it 18–21, but Georgia Tech matched that output to stay ahead 21–18. In the fourth quarter, Duke scored seven and Georgia Tech scored seven to reach the final score of 28–25.
Walker Eget led Duke's passing attack with 259 yards and one touchdown on 26-of-41 attempts. Sheppard carried 27 times for 99 yards and two scores. For Georgia Tech, Alberto Mendoza completed 23 of 30 passes for 218 yards and one touchdown without an interception, while Maddox rushed ten times for 81 yards and three touchdowns.
Who covered the spread in Duke Blue Devils vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets?
Georgia Tech covered as a +5 underdog, winning by three points. The spread opened at +6.5 and closed at +5, indicating 1.5 points of late money shifted toward the Yellow Jackets. The closing line favored Duke by five, but Georgia Tech's outright victory rendered that irrelevant.
Did Duke Blue Devils vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets go over or under the total?
The game went over 45.5, finishing at 53 points—an over by 7.5. The total opened at 45 and ticked up 0.5 to 45.5.
How did AiQ's Duke Blue Devils vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets predictions do?
AiQ finished 12–12 across all graded picks on the game:
- Moneyline: Duke Blue Devils -205 – LOSS (−$100 on a $100 bet)
- Spread: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +5 – WIN
- Total: Over 45.5 – WIN
- Player props: 12–11 – net loss of $136.66 on $100 per pick
AiQ correctly identified the spread and total but missed the moneyline.
Duke Blue Devils vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets player prop results
AiQ posted a 12–11 record on player props, netting a loss of $136.66 on the listed prices:
- Jeremiah Hasley over 32.5 receiving yards at -112; actual 39 – WIN
- Walker Eget over 158.5 passing yards at -112; actual 259 – WIN
- Kevin Roche Jr. over 4.5 receptions at +126; actual 2 – LOSS
- Nate Sheppard anytime touchdown at -525; actual 2 – WIN
- Jonah Burton over 25.5 receiving yards at -112; actual 15 – LOSS
- Kevin Roche Jr. over 35.5 receiving yards at -112; actual 12 – LOSS
- Nate Sheppard over 10.5 receiving yards at -110; actual 91 – WIN
- Jordan Allen over 36.5 receiving yards at -112; actual 99 – WIN
- Alberto Mendoza over 0.5 passing touchdowns at -210; actual 1 – WIN
- Dalen Penson over 3.5 receptions at +102; actual 1 – LOSS
- Dalen Penson over 37.5 receiving yards at -112; actual 13 – LOSS
- Alberto Mendoza over 189.5 passing yards at -112; actual 218 – WIN
Duke Blue Devils vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets game prop results: first quarter, first half and team totals
- First-quarter moneyline: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets won the quarter (paid +124)
- First-half moneyline: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets won the half (paid +145)
- First-half spread: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +3 covered (paid -110)
- First-quarter total 9.5: Under (paid -105); 7 points were scored
- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets team total 20.5: Over (paid +100); they finished with 28 points
- First-half total 22.5: Over (paid -115); 24 points were scored
- Duke Blue Devils team total 25.5: Under (paid -111); they finished with 25 points
Duke Blue Devils vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline listed Duke at -205 and Georgia Tech at +169, implying a 64% win probability for Duke and 36% for Georgia Tech after vig removal, with a 4.4% bookmaker margin. Georgia Tech's +169 paid $169 on a $100 wager. AiQ's moneyline pick at -200 carried -2.3% expected value—a negative-EV price despite the model's 65% confidence matching the market's implied probability. The spread moved from Georgia Tech +6.5 to +5, reflecting late money toward the underdog, which ultimately covered.
Duke Blue Devils and Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets betting trends: 2026 season
Duke Blue Devils sit at 4–1 overall, 3–0 at home and 1–1 away or neutral. In four games with a recorded closing spread they are 3–1 against the spread, and in four games with a recorded total they are 2–2 over/under. Their last five results: loss, win, win, win, win.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 2–3 overall, 2–2 at home and 0–1 away or neutral. In five games with a recorded spread they are 1–4 against the spread, and in five games with a recorded total they are 3–2 over/under. Their last five results: win, loss, win, loss, loss.
What's next for Duke Blue Devils and Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets?
Duke travels to face Virginia Cavaliers on Friday, October 23. Georgia Tech hosts Boston College Eagles on Saturday, October 24.