Louisville Cardinals defeat Florida State Seminoles 44-20: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Fri, Oct 9, 2026 · NCAAF · Florida State Seminoles 20, Louisville Cardinals 44
The Louisville Cardinals beat the Florida State Seminoles 44-20 on Friday, October 9, 2026, at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium. The Louisville Cardinals covered the spread as 4-point favorites. The game went over the closing total of 60.5, with 64 points combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 12-17.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Louisville Cardinals final score and game recap
The Florida State Seminoles led 14-0 after the first quarter. It was 14-14 at halftime. The Louisville Cardinals outscored the Florida State Seminoles 30-6 in the second half.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Ashton Daniels (Florida State Seminoles): 21/37 passing for 209 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception.
- Micahi Danzy (Florida State Seminoles): 4 catches for 50 yards, 2 receiving touchdowns.
- Isaac Brown (Louisville Cardinals): 17 carries for 235 yards, 2 rushing touchdowns.
- Lincoln Kienholz (Louisville Cardinals): 9 carries for 40 yards, 2 rushing touchdowns.
Who covered the spread in Florida State Seminoles vs. Louisville Cardinals?
The Louisville Cardinals covered the spread as 4-point favorites, winning by 24 points.
The spread opened at Louisville Cardinals -3.5 and closed at Louisville Cardinals -4.
Did Florida State Seminoles vs. Louisville Cardinals go over or under the total?
The game went over: 64 points combined against a closing total of 60.5, over by 3.5. 28 of the 64 points came in the first half.
The total opened at 60 and closed at 60.5.
How did AiQ's Florida State Seminoles vs. Louisville Cardinals predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 12-17.
- Moneyline: the Louisville Cardinals to win at -192, a win (+$52.08 on a $100 bet).
- Player props: 12-17, -$781.55 on $100 a pick at the listed prices.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Louisville Cardinals player prop results
AiQ's player prop picks went 12-17 in this game, -$781.55 on $100 a pick at the listed prices.
- Jaleel Skinner (Louisville Cardinals): to score a touchdown at +245, a loss.
- Lawayne McCoy (Louisville Cardinals): to score a touchdown at +170, a loss.
- Isaac Brown (Louisville Cardinals): to score a touchdown at -575, a win.
- Lawayne McCoy (Louisville Cardinals): over 58.5 receiving yards at -112, finished with 78, a win.
- Jaleel Skinner (Louisville Cardinals): over 29.5 receiving yards at -112, finished with -1, a loss.
- Ashton Daniels (Florida State Seminoles): over 218.5 passing yards at -112, finished with 209, a loss.
- TreyShun Hurry (Louisville Cardinals): over 3.5 receptions at +103, finished with 5, a win.
- Ashton Daniels (Florida State Seminoles): to score a touchdown at -185, a win.
- Isaac Brown (Louisville Cardinals): under 8.5 receiving yards at -135, finished with 7, a win.
- TreyShun Hurry (Louisville Cardinals): over 40.5 receiving yards at -110, finished with 56, a win.
- Duce Robinson (Florida State Seminoles): over 55.5 receiving yards at -112, finished with 14, a loss.
- Lincoln Kienholz (Louisville Cardinals): over 250.5 passing yards at -112, finished with 140, a loss.
- 17 more picks are in the record above but not listed.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Louisville Cardinals game prop results: first half, team totals and first quarter
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- First-half moneyline: the first half was tied, so bets were refunded.
- First-half spread: Florida State Seminoles +2.5 covered, paying +102.
- Florida State Seminoles team total 27.5: the under, paying -102, with 20 scored.
- First-half total 30.5: the under, paying -112, with 28 points scored.
- First-quarter moneyline: Florida State Seminoles won the first quarter, paying +120.
- Louisville Cardinals team total 33.5: the over, paying -111, with 44 scored.
- First-quarter total 13.5: the over, paying -125, with 14 points scored.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Louisville Cardinals odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Florida State Seminoles at +154 and the Louisville Cardinals at -190. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Louisville Cardinals a 62% favorite. The Louisville Cardinals won as the favorite at -190: $52.63 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Louisville Cardinals, the best price before the game was -185 at BetMGM: priced below fair (−3.4% value).
The spread moved toward the Louisville Cardinals between the open and the close, and they covered. The total moved up from 60 to 60.5, and the game went over.
Florida State Seminoles and Louisville Cardinals betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the Florida State Seminoles 3-3 in the 2026 regular season (3-1 at home, 0-2 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 2 of 5 games with a closing line on file, with 1 push. Their games went over the closing total 2 times and under 3 times.
This result left the Louisville Cardinals 3-3 in the 2026 regular season (3-1 at home, 0-2 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 4 of 6 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 5 times and under 1 time.
What's next for Florida State Seminoles and Louisville Cardinals?
Next for the Florida State Seminoles: at the Miami Hurricanes on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Next for the Louisville Cardinals: at the Syracuse Orange on Saturday, October 17, 2026.