Florida State Seminoles defeat Virginia Cavaliers 38-7: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 3, 2026 · NCAAF · Virginia Cavaliers 7, Florida State Seminoles 38
The Florida State Seminoles beat the Virginia Cavaliers 38-7 on Saturday, October 3, 2026, at Doak Campbell Stadium. The Florida State Seminoles covered the spread as 1.5-point underdogs. The game went under the closing total of 51.5, with 45 points combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 10-12.
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Florida State Seminoles final score and game recap
The Virginia Cavaliers led 7-0 after the first quarter. The Florida State Seminoles won the second quarter 17-0 to lead 17-7 at halftime. They outscored the Virginia Cavaliers 21-0 in the second half.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Beau Pribula (Virginia Cavaliers): 14/32 passing for 168 yards, 1 touchdown, 0 interceptions.
- Jekail Middlebrook (Virginia Cavaliers): 10 carries for 65 yards.
- Ashton Daniels (Florida State Seminoles): 17 carries for 136 yards, 5 rushing touchdowns.
- Ousmane Kromah (Florida State Seminoles): 17 carries for 80 yards.
Who covered the spread in Virginia Cavaliers vs. Florida State Seminoles?
The Florida State Seminoles covered the spread as 1.5-point underdogs and won outright, by 31 points.
The spread opened at Virginia Cavaliers -2.5 and closed at Virginia Cavaliers -1.5.
Did Virginia Cavaliers vs. Florida State Seminoles go over or under the total?
The game went under: 45 points combined against a closing total of 51.5, under by 6.5. 24 of the 45 points came in the first half.
The total opened and closed at 51.5.
How did AiQ's Virginia Cavaliers vs. Florida State Seminoles predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 10-12.
- Moneyline: the Florida State Seminoles to win at -108, a win (+$92.59 on a $100 bet).
- Player props: 10-12, -$236.41 on $100 a pick at the listed prices.
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Florida State Seminoles player prop results
AiQ's player prop picks went 10-12 in this game, -$236.41 on $100 a pick at the listed prices.
- Ousmane Kromah (Florida State Seminoles): to score a touchdown at -255, a loss.
- Micahi Danzy (Florida State Seminoles): over 32.5 receiving yards at -112, finished with 70, a win.
- Ousmane Kromah (Florida State Seminoles): over 82.5 rushing yards at -112, finished with 80, a loss.
- Duce Robinson (Florida State Seminoles): over 53.5 receiving yards at -112, finished with 18, a loss.
- Ashton Daniels (Florida State Seminoles): to score a touchdown at -135, a win.
- Ashton Daniels (Florida State Seminoles): over 207.5 passing yards at -112, finished with 183, a loss.
- Jekail Middlebrook (Virginia Cavaliers): under 59.5 rushing yards at -110, finished with 65, a loss.
- Beau Pribula (Virginia Cavaliers): over 209.5 passing yards at -112, finished with 168, a loss.
- Jayvan Boggs (Florida State Seminoles): under 44.5 receiving yards at -112, finished with 17, a win.
- Beau Pribula (Virginia Cavaliers): over 1.5 passing touchdowns at +114, finished with 1, a loss.
- Beau Pribula (Virginia Cavaliers): under 21.5 rushing yards at -110, finished with -62, a win.
- Xavier Brown (Virginia Cavaliers): to score a touchdown at +125, a loss.
- 10 more picks are in the record above but not listed.
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Florida State Seminoles game prop results: first half, first quarter and team totals
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- First-half moneyline: Florida State Seminoles won the first half, paying -115.
- First-quarter total 10.5: the under, paying -135, with 7 points scored.
- First-quarter moneyline: Virginia Cavaliers won the first quarter, paying -115.
- Florida State Seminoles team total 25.5: the over, paying -113, with 38 scored.
- Virginia Cavaliers team total 26.5: the under, paying -115, with 7 scored.
- First-half total 25.5: the under, paying -105, with 24 points scored.
- First-half spread: Florida State Seminoles +0.5 covered, paying -130.
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Florida State Seminoles odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Virginia Cavaliers at -110 and the Florida State Seminoles at -112. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Florida State Seminoles a 50% favorite. The Florida State Seminoles won as the favorite at -112: $89.29 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Florida State Seminoles, the price before the game was -108: priced below fair (−3.7% value).
The spread moved toward the Florida State Seminoles between the open and the close, and they covered.
Virginia Cavaliers and Florida State Seminoles betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the Virginia Cavaliers 3-2 in the 2026 regular season (3-1 at home, 0-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 3 of 5 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 2 times and under 3 times.
This result left the Florida State Seminoles 3-2 in the 2026 regular season (3-1 at home, 0-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 2 of 4 games with a closing line on file, with 1 push. Their games went over the closing total 1 time and under 3 times. That made it two straight wins for the Florida State Seminoles.
What's next for Virginia Cavaliers and Florida State Seminoles?
Next for the Virginia Cavaliers: the Syracuse Orange at home on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Next for the Florida State Seminoles: at the Louisville Cardinals on Friday, October 9, 2026.