Baylor Bears defeat Iowa State Cyclones 42-31: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · NCAAF · Iowa State Cyclones 31, Baylor Bears 42
The Baylor Bears beat the Iowa State Cyclones 42-31 on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at McLane Stadium. The Baylor Bears covered the spread as 9.5-point favorites. The game went over the closing total of 50.5, with 73 points combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears final score and game recap
The Iowa State Cyclones led 10-0 after the first quarter. The Baylor Bears won the second quarter 21-7 to lead 21-17 at halftime. They outscored the Iowa State Cyclones 21-14 in the second half.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Aiden Flora (Iowa State Cyclones): 26 carries for 182 yards, 1 rushing touchdown.
- Jaylen Raynor (Iowa State Cyclones): 22/37 passing for 256 yards, 2 touchdowns, 0 interceptions.
- DJ Lagway (Baylor Bears): 16/28 passing for 229 yards, 2 touchdowns, 0 interceptions.
- DJ Lagway (Baylor Bears): 13 carries for 119 yards, 1 rushing touchdown.
Who covered the spread in Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears?
The Baylor Bears covered the spread as 9.5-point favorites, winning by 11 points.
The spread opened and closed at Baylor Bears -9.5.
Did Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears go over or under the total?
The game went over: 73 points combined against a closing total of 50.5, over by 22.5. 38 of the 73 points came in the first half.
The total opened and closed at 50.5.
How did AiQ's Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
- Moneyline: the Baylor Bears to win at -375, a win (+$26.67 on a $100 bet).
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears game prop results: first quarter, team totals and first half
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- First-quarter moneyline: Iowa State Cyclones won the first quarter, paying +190.
- Iowa State Cyclones team total 19.5: the over, paying -125, with 31 scored.
- First-half total 25.5: the over, paying -115, with 38 points scored.
- First-quarter total 10.5: the under, paying -140, with 10 points scored.
- First-half moneyline: Baylor Bears won the first half, paying -305.
- Baylor Bears team total 30.5: the over, paying -125, with 42 scored.
- First-half spread: Iowa State Cyclones +6.5 covered, paying -110.
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Iowa State Cyclones at +290 and the Baylor Bears at -375. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Baylor Bears a 75% favorite. The Baylor Bears won as the favorite at -375: $26.67 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Baylor Bears, the best price before the game was -350 at BetMGM: priced below fair (−0.9% value).
Iowa State Cyclones and Baylor Bears betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the Iowa State Cyclones 4-5 in the 2026 regular season (4-1 at home, 0-4 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 3 of 9 games with a closing line on file, with 1 push. Their games went over the closing total 5 times and under 4 times.
This result left the Baylor Bears 6-3 in the 2026 regular season (4-1 at home, 2-2 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 6 of 9 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 4 times and under 5 times. That made it two straight wins for the Baylor Bears.
What's next for Iowa State Cyclones and Baylor Bears?
Next for the Iowa State Cyclones: the Cincinnati Bearcats at home on Friday, November 13, 2026. Next for the Baylor Bears: at the BYU Cougars on Friday, November 13, 2026.