Houston Cougars defeat Kansas State Wildcats 35-16: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · NCAAF · Houston Cougars 35, Kansas State Wildcats 16
Houston Cougars 35, Kansas State Wildcats 16 – the Cougars covered the +2.5 spread and the total went under 55.
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas State Wildcats final score and game recap
Houston scored 7 points in the first quarter to establish early control at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. The Cougars' offense accelerated in the second quarter, adding 14 points to reach 21-3 at halftime. The lead reached 35-9 after the third quarter, and Kansas State's late touchdown in the fourth only narrowed the final margin to 19 points.
Conner Weigman orchestrated the Houston offense efficiently, completing 19 of 30 passes for 242 yards and four touchdowns without an interception. Patrick Overmyer was his primary target, catching eight passes for 83 yards while matching Weigman's four touchdown total. For Kansas State, Avery Johnson completed 16 of 30 for 182 yards, two touchdowns and one interception, while Garrett Oakley contributed three catches for 49 yards and a receiving touchdown.
Who covered the spread in Houston Cougars vs. Kansas State Wildcats?
Houston Cougars covered as a +2.5 underdog, winning by 19 points. Kansas State closed as a -2.5 favorite with no line movement from open to close.
Did Houston Cougars vs. Kansas State Wildcats go over or under the total?
The game finished at 51 points, going under the 55-point closing total by 4 points. The total slipped 0.5 points from the 55.5 open to 55 at close.
How did AiQ's Houston Cougars vs. Kansas State Wildcats predictions do?
AiQ finished 11-20 across every graded pick on this game. The moneyline pick on Kansas State Wildcats at -138 lost, and player props went 11-19 for a loss of $917.49 on $100 per pick.
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas State Wildcats player prop results
AiQ's player prop record was 11-19, netting a loss of $917.49 on $100 per pick.
- Rodney Fields Jr. anytime touchdown -250 → 0 – LOSS
- Conner Weigman anytime touchdown -270 → 0 – LOSS
- Conner Weigman over 221.5 passing yards -112 → 242 – WIN
- Conner Weigman over 1.5 passing touchdowns +136 → 4 – WIN
- Avery Johnson over 41.5 rushing yards -116 → 39 – LOSS
- Garrett Oakley over 35.5 receiving yards -112 → 49 – WIN
- Makhi Hughes under 59.5 rushing yards -112 → 78 – LOSS
- Conner Weigman under 40.5 rushing yards -112 → 21 – WIN
- Avery Johnson over 225.5 passing yards -112 → 182 – LOSS
- Patrick Overmyer over 51.5 receiving yards -112 → 83 – WIN
- Amare Thomas under 58.5 receiving yards -112 → 31 – WIN
- Koby Young under 20.5 receiving yards -112 → 40 – LOSS
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas State Wildcats game prop results: first quarter, first half and team totals
- First-quarter total 10.5: Under (paid -120); 10 points scored
- First-quarter moneyline: Houston Cougars won (paid +100)
- First-half moneyline: Houston Cougars won (paid +102)
- First-half total 27.5: Under (paid -115); 24 points scored
- First-half spread: Houston Cougars +0.5 covered (paid -110)
- Houston Cougars team total 27.5: Over (paid -108); 35 scored
- Kansas State Wildcats team total 28.5: Under (paid -115); 16 scored
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas State Wildcats odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline was Houston Cougars +115 and Kansas State Wildcats -138, implying win probabilities of 45% and 55% after vigorish removal. The bookmaker margin was 4.5%. The spread held steady at Kansas State -2.5 from open to close. AiQ's internal estimate of 56% win probability for Kansas State matched the market's vig-free probability, but the best available price was -130, yielding negative expected value of -1.1%.
Houston Cougars and Kansas State Wildcats betting trends: 2026 season
Houston Cougars sit 5-1 overall, 3-0 at home and 2-1 away/neutral. They are 3-3 against the spread in six games with a recorded spread and have hit the over four times and the under twice. Their last five results are W, W, W, L, W, extending a three-game winning streak.
Kansas State Wildcats are 3-2 overall, 3-1 at home and 0-1 away/neutral. They are 2-3 against the spread in five games with a recorded spread and have gone over three times and under twice. Their last five results are L, L, W, W, W, now on a two-game losing streak.
What's next for Houston Cougars and Kansas State Wildcats?
Houston travels to face the Utah Utes on Saturday, October 24. Kansas State heads to the Arizona State Sun Devils, also on Saturday, October 24.