Oklahoma State Cowboys defeat UCF Knights 42-28: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · NCAAF · UCF Knights 28, Oklahoma State Cowboys 42

The Oklahoma State Cowboys beat the UCF Knights 42-28 on Saturday, October 10, 2026, at Boone Pickens Stadium. The Oklahoma State Cowboys covered the spread as 10.5-point favorites. The game went over the closing total of 53.5, with 70 points combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 9-7.

UCF Knights vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys final score and game recap

The UCF Knights led 14-7 after the first quarter. It was 21-21 at halftime. The Oklahoma State Cowboys outscored the UCF Knights 21-7 in the second half, 18-7 in the fourth quarter alone.

The leading performers, from the box score:

Keyone Jenkins (UCF Knights): 30/42 passing for 265 yards, 4 touchdowns, 1 interception.
Josh Derry (UCF Knights): 11 catches for 84 yards, 1 receiving touchdown.
Drew Mestemaker (Oklahoma State Cowboys): 19/28 passing for 304 yards, 2 touchdowns, 0 interceptions.
Justin Bowick (Oklahoma State Cowboys): 6 catches for 98 yards, 1 receiving touchdown.

Who covered the spread in UCF Knights vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys?

The Oklahoma State Cowboys covered the spread as 10.5-point favorites, winning by 14 points.

The spread opened and closed at Oklahoma State Cowboys -10.5.

Did UCF Knights vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys go over or under the total?

The game went over: 70 points combined against a closing total of 53.5, over by 16.5. 42 of the 70 points came in the first half.

The total opened and closed at 53.5.

How did AiQ's UCF Knights vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys predictions do?

AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 9-7.

Moneyline: the Oklahoma State Cowboys to win at -395, a win (+$25.32 on a $100 bet).
Player props: 9-7, +$175.97 on $100 a pick at the listed prices.

UCF Knights vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys player prop results

AiQ's player prop picks went 9-7 in this game, +$175.97 on $100 a pick at the listed prices.

Waden Charles (UCF Knights): over 38.5 receiving yards at -110, finished with 30, a loss.
Keyone Jenkins (UCF Knights): under 8.5 rushing yards at -120, finished with 13, a loss.
Josh Derry (UCF Knights): over 43.5 receiving yards at -112, finished with 84, a win.
Duke Watson: under 61.5 rushing yards at -112, finished with 79, a loss.
Keyone Jenkins (UCF Knights): over 187.5 passing yards at -112, finished with 265, a win.
Keyone Jenkins (UCF Knights): over 0.5 passing touchdowns at -186, finished with 4, a win.
Waden Charles (UCF Knights): under 3.5 receptions at -119, finished with 2, a win.
Caleb Hawkins (Oklahoma State Cowboys): under 3.5 receptions at -172, finished with 2, a win.
Drew Mestemaker (Oklahoma State Cowboys): under 2.5 passing touchdowns at -172, finished with 2, a win.
Terrence Lewis (Oklahoma State Cowboys): under 39.5 receiving yards at -149, finished with 26, a win.
Keyone Jenkins (UCF Knights): to score a touchdown at +165, a loss.
Taevion Swint (UCF Knights): to score a touchdown at +195, a loss.
4 more picks are in the record above but not listed.

UCF Knights vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys game prop results: first quarter, first half and team totals

AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.

First-quarter moneyline: UCF Knights won the first quarter, paying +190.
First-half total 27.5: the over, paying -105, with 42 points scored.
First-half spread: UCF Knights +6.5 covered, paying -105.
Oklahoma State Cowboys team total 31.5: the over, paying -106, with 42 scored.
First-half moneyline: the first half was tied, so bets were refunded.
First-quarter total 10.5: the over, paying +100, with 21 points scored.
UCF Knights team total 20.5: the over, paying -122, with 28 scored.

UCF Knights vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys odds: sportsbook value and line movement

Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the UCF Knights at +310 and the Oklahoma State Cowboys at -425. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Oklahoma State Cowboys a 77% favorite. The Oklahoma State Cowboys won as the favorite at -425: $23.53 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Oklahoma State Cowboys, the price before the game was -395: priced below fair (−0.7% value).

UCF Knights and Oklahoma State Cowboys betting trends: 2026 season

This result left the UCF Knights 3-3 in the 2026 regular season (3-0 at home, 0-3 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 4 of 6 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 3 times and under 3 times. That made it two straight losses for the UCF Knights.

This result left the Oklahoma State Cowboys 4-1 in the 2026 regular season (3-0 at home, 1-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 4 of 5 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 3 times and under 2 times. That made it four straight wins for the Oklahoma State Cowboys.

What's next for UCF Knights and Oklahoma State Cowboys?

Next for the UCF Knights: the BYU Cougars at home on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Next for the Oklahoma State Cowboys: at the Houston Cougars on Saturday, October 17, 2026.