Baylor Bears defeat Arizona State Sun Devils 55-19: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 3, 2026 · NCAAF · Baylor Bears 55, Arizona State Sun Devils 19
The Baylor Bears beat the Arizona State Sun Devils 55-19 on Saturday, October 3, 2026, at Mountain America Stadium. The Baylor Bears covered the spread as 3.5-point underdogs. The game went over the closing total of 49.5, with 74 points combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game lost, and its player props went 3-6.
Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devils final score and game recap
The Baylor Bears led 14-3 after the first quarter and 24-13 at halftime. They outscored the Arizona State Sun Devils 31-6 in the second half, 21-3 in the third quarter alone. They led at the end of every quarter.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- DJ Lagway (Baylor Bears): 25/40 passing for 306 yards, 4 touchdowns, 0 interceptions.
- Gavin Freeman (Baylor Bears): 7 catches for 115 yards.
- Cutter Boley (Arizona State Sun Devils): 25/43 passing for 304 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception.
- Reed Harris (Arizona State Sun Devils): 7 catches for 125 yards.
Who covered the spread in Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devils?
The Baylor Bears covered the spread as 3.5-point underdogs and won outright, by 36 points.
The spread opened at Arizona State Sun Devils -4 and closed at Arizona State Sun Devils -3.5.
Did Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devils go over or under the total?
The game went over: 74 points combined against a closing total of 49.5, over by 24.5. 37 of the 74 points came in the first half.
The total opened at 49 and closed at 49.5.
How did AiQ's Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devils predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game lost, and its player props went 3-6.
- Moneyline: the Arizona State Sun Devils to win at -166, a loss (-$100 on a $100 bet).
- Player props: 3-6, -$215.71 on $100 a pick at the listed prices.
Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devils player prop results
AiQ's player prop picks went 3-6 in this game, -$215.71 on $100 a pick at the listed prices.
- Dawson Pendergrass (Baylor Bears): under 7.5 receiving yards at -125, finished with 0, a win.
- Gavin Freeman (Baylor Bears): under 76.5 receiving yards at -116, finished with 115, a loss.
- Louis Brown IV (Baylor Bears): over 32.5 receiving yards at -112, finished with 68, a win.
- Dawson Pendergrass (Baylor Bears): over 59.5 rushing yards at -112, finished with 29, a loss.
- Jayden McGowan (Baylor Bears): to score a touchdown at +330, a loss.
- Louis Brown IV (Baylor Bears): to score a touchdown at +215, a win.
- Gavin Freeman (Baylor Bears): to score a touchdown at -140, a loss.
- Dawson Pendergrass (Baylor Bears): to score a touchdown at -115, a loss.
- Cutter Boley (Arizona State Sun Devils): over 1.5 passing touchdowns at -126, finished with 1, a loss.
Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devils game prop results: team totals, first half and first quarter
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- Arizona State Sun Devils team total 26.5: the under, paying -108, with 19 scored.
- First-half moneyline: Baylor Bears won the first half, paying +120.
- First-half spread: Baylor Bears +2.5 covered, paying -112.
- Baylor Bears team total 23.5: the over, paying -106, with 55 scored.
- First-half total 24.5: the over, paying -108, with 37 points scored.
- First-quarter moneyline: Baylor Bears won the first quarter, paying +110.
- First-quarter total 10.5: the over, paying +114, with 17 points scored.
Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devils odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Baylor Bears at +140 and the Arizona State Sun Devils at -173. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Arizona State Sun Devils a 60% favorite. The Baylor Bears won as the underdog at +140: $140 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Arizona State Sun Devils, the best price before the game was -160 at FanDuel: priced below fair (−1.2% value).
The spread moved toward the Baylor Bears between the open and the close, and they covered. The total moved up from 49 to 49.5, and the game went over.
Baylor Bears and Arizona State Sun Devils betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the Baylor Bears 4-1 in the 2026 regular season (3-0 at home, 1-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 4 of 5 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 2 times and under 3 times. That made it four straight wins for the Baylor Bears.
This result left the Arizona State Sun Devils 2-2 in the 2026 regular season (1-1 at home, 1-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 2 of 4 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 3 times and under 1 time.
What's next for Baylor Bears and Arizona State Sun Devils?
Next for the Baylor Bears: the TCU Horned Frogs at home on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Next for the Arizona State Sun Devils: the Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at home on Saturday, October 10, 2026.