Arizona State Sun Devils defeat Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 30-12: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · NCAAF · Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 12, Arizona State Sun Devils 30
Arizona State defeated Hawai'i 30–12, covering the −20.5 spread while the total finished under 51.5. AiQ went 7–4 across all graded picks on the game.
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs. Arizona State Sun Devils final score and game recap
Arizona State built an early lead and sustained it throughout. The Sun Devils scored first, leading 7–3 after one quarter, then outscored Hawai'i 10–3 in the second to reach halftime up 17–6. A third-quarter touchdown extended the margin to 24–6. Both teams scored in the fourth, finishing 30–12.
Micah Alejado completed 25 of 49 passes for 252 yards, one touchdown and one interception for Hawai'i. Kainoa Carvalho caught seven passes for 86 yards. Arizona State's Cardae Mack rushed 13 times for 154 yards and two touchdowns. Cutter Boley went 21 of 31 for 189 yards and two touchdowns without a turnover.
Who covered the spread in Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs. Arizona State Sun Devils?
Hawai'i covered as a +20.5 underdog despite losing by 18. Arizona State closed at −20.5.
Did Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs. Arizona State Sun Devils go over or under the total?
The game finished at 42 points, 9.5 below the 51.5 total. The line opened at 50 and moved up 1.5 to 51.5 before kickoff. Combined scoring by quarter: 10 points in the first quarter, 13 in the second, 7 in the third and 12 in the fourth.
How did AiQ's Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs. Arizona State Sun Devils predictions do?
AiQ finished 7–4 across all graded picks.
- Moneyline: Arizona State Sun Devils at −1650 – WIN (+$6.06 on a $100 bet)
- Spread: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +20.5 – WIN
- Total: Under 51.5 – WIN
- Player props: 6–4 (+$18.23 on $100 per pick)
AiQ correctly identified Arizona State as the winner, the underdog covering the spread, and the under total. The model went 6–4 on player props, missing on Reed Harris's receiving yards and Kainoa Carvalho's reception total.
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs. Arizona State Sun Devils player prop results
AiQ went 6–4 on player props, netting +$18.23.
- Tama Uiliata under 37.5 receiving yards – actual 10 – WIN
- Micah Alejado over 207.5 passing yards – actual 252 – WIN
- Kyson Brown under 78.5 rushing yards – actual 29 – WIN
- Reed Harris over 93.5 receiving yards – actual 91 – LOSS
- Kainoa Carvalho under 4.5 receptions – actual 7 – LOSS
- Micah Alejado over 0.5 passing touchdowns – actual 1 – WIN
- Cutter Boley under 2.5 passing touchdowns – actual 2 – WIN
- Omarion Miller anytime touchdown – actual 0 – LOSS
- Devin Alves anytime touchdown – actual 0 – LOSS
- Reed Harris anytime touchdown – actual 2 – WIN
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs. Arizona State Sun Devils game prop results: team totals, first quarter and first half
- Arizona State Sun Devils team total 36.5: Under (paid −113); they scored 30
- First-quarter moneyline: Arizona State Sun Devils won the first quarter (paid −475)
- Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors team total 14.5: Under (paid −113); they scored 12
- First-half moneyline: Arizona State Sun Devils won the first half (paid −900)
- First-half total 27.5: Under (paid −118); 23 points were scored
- First-quarter total 10.5: Under (paid −125); 10 points were scored
- First-half spread: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +11.5 covered (paid −110)
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs. Arizona State Sun Devils odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline had Hawai'i at +913 and Arizona State at −1650, implying a 9% win probability for Hawai'i and 91% for Arizona State after removing the 4.2% vig. The spread held steady at −20.5. The total opened at 50 and moved up 1.5 to 51.5. Arizona State won the moneyline at −1650, paying $6.06 on a $100 wager. AiQ's pre-game expected value for the Sun Devils at −1650 was −1.1%, indicating the price was slightly unfavorable despite the model's confidence. The market's implied probability of 93% matched AiQ's calibrated estimate.
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors and Arizona State Sun Devils betting trends: 2026 season
Hawai'i sits 1–5 overall, 1–2 at home and 0–3 away or neutral. The Warriors are 2–4 against the spread in six games and 1–5 over/under, hitting the under five times. They are on a three-game losing streak.
Arizona State is 3–2 overall, 2–1 at home and 1–1 away or neutral. The Sun Devils are 2–3 against the spread in five games and 3–2 over/under, hitting the over three times.
What's next for Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors and Arizona State Sun Devils?
Hawai'i travels to face Northern Illinois on Saturday, October 24. Arizona State hosts Kansas State the same day.