Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 7

Sat, Nov 7, 3:30 PM ET · Tiger Stadium (LA) · NCAAF

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU Tigers is on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at Tiger Stadium (LA). Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Alabama Crimson Tide 23, LSU Tigers 30. That is an average, not a pick.

The story

The Alabama Crimson Tide have won 6 of their 8 games this season, winning three of the last five. The LSU Tigers have won 6 of their 8 games this season, winning four of the last five.

Matchups to watch

• Strength against strength in scoring. The Alabama Crimson Tide averaged 38.3 points per game this season, the 12th most of 138 FBS teams, and the LSU Tigers allowed 16.0 points per game, the 16th fewest.
• Strength against strength on the ground. The LSU Tigers averaged 192.0 rushing yards per game this season, tied for the 29th most of 138 FBS teams, and the Alabama Crimson Tide allowed 108.0 rushing yards per game, the 27th fewest.

Moneyline

The betting market, with the margin removed, gives LSU Tigers a 68.2% chance to beat Alabama Crimson Tide. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -225 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -215 (−1.4% value).

Total

The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 52.5 points at 49.9% and the under at 50.1%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 53.2 points, sits on the 52.5 line.

Spread

The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Alabama Crimson Tide +6 a 50.0% chance to cover and LSU Tigers -6 50.0%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play

Recent totals lean over. The Alabama Crimson Tide went over the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.