Texas Longhorns defeat Mississippi State Bulldogs 31-3: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · NCAAF · Mississippi State Bulldogs 3, Texas Longhorns 31
The Texas Longhorns beat the Mississippi State Bulldogs 31-3 on Saturday, October 31, 2026, at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium. The Texas Longhorns covered the spread as 20-point favorites. The game went under the closing total of 50, with 34 points combined.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhorns final score and game recap
The Texas Longhorns led 7-0 after the first quarter. They won the second quarter 10-0 to lead 17-0 at halftime. They outscored the Mississippi State Bulldogs 14-3 in the second half. They led at the end of every quarter.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Marquis Johnson (Mississippi State Bulldogs): 6 catches for 61 yards.
- Fluff Bothwell (Mississippi State Bulldogs): 17 carries for 49 yards.
- Arch Manning (Texas Longhorns): 16/20 passing for 220 yards, 3 touchdowns, 0 interceptions.
- Emmett Mosley V (Texas Longhorns): 4 catches for 98 yards, 1 receiving touchdown.
Who covered the spread in Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhorns?
The Texas Longhorns covered the spread as 20-point favorites, winning by 28 points.
The spread opened at Texas Longhorns -20.5 and closed at Texas Longhorns -20.
Did Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhorns go over or under the total?
The game went under: 34 points combined against a closing total of 50, under by 16. 17 of the 34 points came in the first half.
The total opened at 50.5 and closed at 50.
How did AiQ's Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhorns predictions do?
None of AiQ's picks in this game counts toward its record.
- Moneyline: the Texas Longhorns to win at -1350, a win. A price that short stays out of AiQ's record.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhorns game prop results: team totals, first half and first quarter
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- Texas Longhorns team total 34.5: the under, paying -113, with 31 scored.
- First-half moneyline: Texas Longhorns won the first half, paying -750.
- First-quarter moneyline: Texas Longhorns won the first quarter, paying -475.
- Mississippi State Bulldogs team total 14.5: the under, paying -130, with 3 scored.
- First-quarter total 10.5: the under, paying -135, with 7 points scored.
- First-half total 26.5: the under, paying -105, with 17 points scored.
- First-half spread: Texas Longhorns -11.5 covered, paying -105.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhorns odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Mississippi State Bulldogs at +800 and the Texas Longhorns at -1450. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Texas Longhorns a 89% favorite. The Texas Longhorns won as the favorite at -1450: $6.90 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Texas Longhorns, the price before the game was -1350: priced below fair (−0.9% value).
The spread moved toward the Mississippi State Bulldogs between the open and the close, and the Texas Longhorns covered. The total moved down from 50.5 to 50, and the game went under.
Mississippi State Bulldogs and Texas Longhorns betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the Mississippi State Bulldogs 4-4 in the 2026 regular season (2-2 at home, 2-2 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 4 of 8 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 3 times and under 5 times. That made it four straight losses for the Mississippi State Bulldogs.
This result left the Texas Longhorns 6-2 in the 2026 regular season (5-1 at home, 1-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 3 of 8 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 3 times and under 5 times. That made it two straight wins for the Texas Longhorns.
What's next for Mississippi State Bulldogs and Texas Longhorns?
Next for the Mississippi State Bulldogs: the Vanderbilt Commodores at home on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Next for the Texas Longhorns: at the Missouri Tigers on Saturday, November 7, 2026.