Ole Miss Rebels defeat Missouri Tigers 31-3: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · NCAAF · Missouri Tigers 3, Ole Miss Rebels 31

Ole Miss Rebels defeated the Missouri Tigers 31–3 at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on Saturday, October 17, covering the -4 spread and finishing under 58.

Missouri Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels final score and game recap

Trinidad Chambliss directed the Ole Miss offense efficiently, completing 20 of 36 passes for 241 yards and three touchdowns. Kewan Lacy rushed for 122 yards on 16 carries. Missouri's Austin Simmons threw for 339 yards but failed to reach the end zone, throwing one interception. Donovan Olugbode led the Tigers' receiving corps with nine catches for 127 yards.

Who covered the spread in Missouri Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels?

Ole Miss Rebels covered the -4 spread, winning by 28 points. The line opened at -6 and softened to -4 as money shifted toward Missouri, a two-point movement. The Rebels' dominant margin far exceeded the closing number.

Did Missouri Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels go over or under the total?

The game finished under the 58 total, combining for 34 points—24 points under. Ole Miss scored 7–14–0–10 across quarters; Missouri managed 3–0–0–0. The total opened at 58.5 and dipped to 58, reflecting early market expectations of low scoring that proved accurate.

How did AiQ's Missouri Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels predictions do?

AiQ finished 13–19 across all graded picks on this game.

Missouri Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels player prop results

AiQ's player-prop record was 12–19, netting a loss of $856.09. Notable misses included Jamal Roberts over 118.5 rushing yards (actual 39), Austin Simmons under 251.5 passing yards (actual 339), and three anytime touchdown props that failed to cash. Wins came on Roberts over 16.5 receiving yards (actual 21), Caleb Odom over 3.5 receptions (actual 4), Trinidad Chambliss anytime touchdown (actual 1), Chambliss under 20.5 rushing yards (actual 14), and Kewan Lacy under 2.5 receptions (actual 2).

Missouri Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels game prop results: first quarter, first half and team totals

Low scoring throughout—particularly in the first half—kept all totals under their posted lines.

Missouri Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels odds: sportsbook value and line movement

Closing moneyline: Missouri Tigers +150 | Ole Miss Rebels -182. Sportsbook implied win probability (vig removed): Missouri Tigers 38%, Ole Miss Rebels 62%. Bookmaker margin (vig) on the moneyline: 4.5%. The Rebels won at -182, paying $54.95 on a $100 bet. AiQ's moneyline expected value was -2.1% at -184, meaning the model favored the Rebels but found the price unfavorable. The spread softened from -6 to -4 as money shifted toward Missouri, yet the Rebels still covered comfortably. The total slipped half a point from 58.5 to 58.

Missouri Tigers sit 5–2 overall. At home they are 4–0; away or neutral they are 1–2. Against the spread they are 3–4 in seven games with recorded lines, hitting the over three times and the under four times. Their last five results are L, W, W, L, W.

Ole Miss Rebels are 5–1 overall. At home they are 4–0; away or neutral they are 1–1. Against the spread they are 3–3 in six games with recorded lines, and they are 3–3 on the over/under in those same six games. Their last five results are W, W, L, W, W, giving them a current two-game winning streak.

What's next for Missouri Tigers and Ole Miss Rebels?

Missouri travels to face the Arkansas Razorbacks on Saturday, October 31. Ole Miss heads to Austin to face the Texas Longhorns on Saturday, October 24.