Ole Miss Rebels defeat Vanderbilt Commodores 52-17: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · NCAAF · Ole Miss Rebels 52, Vanderbilt Commodores 17

Ole Miss dominated Vanderbilt 52–17 at FirstBank Stadium, going over the 54.5 total. AiQ finished 12–9 on the game, nailing the moneyline but stumbling on player props.

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores final score and game recap

The Rebels built a 14–3 lead after one quarter and never relinquished it. A 28-point second quarter extended the halftime margin to 42–3, effectively deciding the contest before intermission. Vanderbilt scored 14 points in the final two quarters, but Ole Miss added 10 more to close at 52–17.

Trinidad Chambliss orchestrated the offense, completing 20 of 30 passes for 213 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Deuce Alexander caught five passes for 74 yards and a receiving touchdown. Jared Curtis led Vanderbilt with 19 of 32 for 222 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions, while Ja'Cory Thomas hauled in three receptions for 60 yards and a score.

Who covered the spread in Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores?

Ole Miss covered the –9.5 spread, winning by 35 points. The line opened at Vanderbilt +10 and closed at +9.5, a half-point shift toward the underdog as late money arrived.

Did Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores go over or under the total?

The game finished at 69 points, clearing the 54.5 total by 14.5. The total had opened at 57 and drifted down 2.5 points to the closing number.

How did AiQ's Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores predictions do?

AiQ finished 12–9 across all graded picks.

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores player prop results

AiQ went 11–9 on player props, netting a $91.87 loss on $100-per-pick wagers.

Most props clustered near their lines, with receiving yards props particularly tight.

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores game prop results: team totals, first half and first quarter

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores odds: sportsbook value and line movement

Ole Miss opened as –343 favorites, implying a 74% win probability after vig removal, while Vanderbilt sat at +272 (26%). The vig on the moneyline was 4.3%. A $100 stake on Ole Miss at –343 returned $29.15 profit. AiQ's internal valuation used –325, making the market line a negative-expected-value pick despite the correct side. The spread shifted half a point toward Vanderbilt, but the favorite still covered comfortably.

Ole Miss sits 4–1 overall, 3–0 at home and 1–1 away/neutral. They are 2–3 against the spread in five games with a recorded spread and have gone over the total in three of five contests. Their last five results: W, L, W, W, W.

Vanderbilt is 3–3 overall, 3–1 at home and 0–2 away/neutral. They sit 3–3 against the spread in six games with a recorded spread and have hit the over in four of six totals. Their recent stretch is L, L, L, W, W, marking a three-game losing streak.

What's next for Ole Miss Rebels and Vanderbilt Commodores?

Ole Miss travels to face the Texas Longhorns on Saturday, October 24. Vanderbilt travels to face the Kentucky Wildcats on Saturday, October 24.