Tennessee Volunteers defeat Arkansas Razorbacks 24-17: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · NCAAF · Tennessee Volunteers 24, Arkansas Razorbacks 17
Tennessee Volunteers defeated Arkansas Razorbacks 24–17 on Saturday at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. Arkansas covered the +13.5 spread despite the loss, and the total went under 51.5.
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks final score and game recap
The first half belonged entirely to Tennessee. Both teams managed zero points through the opening quarter, but the Volunteers broke through in the second with a touchdown to lead 7–0 at halftime. Arkansas flipped the script in the third quarter, scoring 14 points to take a 14–10 lead. Tennessee scored 14 points in the fourth quarter to seal a 24–17 victory.
DeSean Bishop carried Tennessee's ground game with 138 rushing yards on 19 carries and a touchdown. George MacIntyre completed 18 of 29 passes for 247 yards and a touchdown, though he threw two interceptions. For Arkansas, KJ Jackson went 15 of 27 for 155 yards and a touchdown, while Chris Marshall caught 7 passes for 56 yards.
Who covered the spread in Tennessee Volunteers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks?
Arkansas Razorbacks covered the +13.5 spread. Tennessee entered as a 13.5-point favorite but won by only 7, giving the underdog Razorbacks a cover despite the loss. The line held steady from open to close.
Did Tennessee Volunteers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks go over or under the total?
The game finished at 41 points, well under the 51.5 total. Sluggish scoring throughout—particularly a scoreless first quarter and a 7-point first half—kept the combined output 10.5 points below the projection. The closing total remained unchanged.
How did AiQ's Tennessee Volunteers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks predictions do?
AiQ posted a 9–13 record across all graded picks on the game.
- Moneyline: Tennessee Volunteers –602 – WIN
- Player props: 8–13 – LOSS
AiQ correctly identified the moneyline favorite but the player-prop selections underperformed significantly.
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks player prop results
AiQ's player-prop record was 8–13, netting a loss of $772.13 on $100 stakes per pick.
- Braylon Staley over 3.5 receptions at -149 – 7 – WIN
- DeSean Bishop anytime touchdown at -370 – 1 – WIN
- Radarious Jackson over 19.5 receiving yards at -112 – 0 – LOSS
- DeSean Bishop under 123.5 rushing yards at -112 – 138 – LOSS
- Sutton Smith over 10.5 receiving yards at -108 – 0 – LOSS
- Braylon Staley under 40.5 receiving yards at -112 – 53 – LOSS
- Chris Marshall anytime touchdown at +155 – 0 – LOSS
- Chris Marshall over 84.5 receiving yards at -112 – 56 – LOSS
- Mike Matthews over 56.5 receiving yards at -112 – 78 – WIN
- KJ Jackson over 10.5 rushing yards at -112 – -3 – LOSS
- Chris Marshall over 6.5 receptions at +106 – 7 – WIN
- Braylon Staley anytime touchdown at +185 – 0 – LOSS
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks game prop results: team totals, first quarter and first half
- Tennessee Volunteers team total 33.5: Under (paid -113); they scored 24
- First-quarter total 10.5: Under (paid -140); 0 points were recorded
- First-quarter moneyline: tied, bets refunded
- First-half total 26.5: Under (paid -110); 7 points were recorded
- First-half moneyline: Tennessee Volunteers won the first half (paid -425)
- Arkansas Razorbacks team total 18.5: Under (paid -113); they scored 17
The scoreless opening quarter and anemic first-half offensive output drove all under results.
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Tennessee opened at -602, implying an 82 percent win probability after vig removal, while Arkansas sat at +433 (18 percent). The bookmaker's vig was 4.5 percent. A $100 wager on Tennessee paid $16.61. AiQ's pre-game moneyline expected value was –1.0 percent at -560 (best price at Caesars), indicating the model liked the side but found the market price unfavorable. The market's implied 84 percent win probability matched AiQ's calibrated estimate, confirming the model's probability assessment despite the negative-EV price.
Tennessee Volunteers and Arkansas Razorbacks betting trends: 2026 season
Tennessee sits 5–1 overall with a 3–1 home record and 2–0 away/neutral. Against the spread, they are 3–3 in six games with a recorded spread, and have gone under the total five times with one over. They have won their last two games.
Arkansas is 2–4 overall with a 2–2 home record and 0–2 away/neutral. Against the spread, they are 2–4 in six games with a recorded spread, and have also gone under five times with one over. They have lost their last two games.
What's next for Tennessee Volunteers and Arkansas Razorbacks?
Tennessee travels to face South Carolina Gamecocks on Saturday, October 24. Arkansas hosts Missouri Tigers on Saturday, October 31.