Missouri Tigers defeat Kansas Jayhawks 38-21: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Fri, Sep 11, 2026 · NCAAF · Missouri Tigers 38, Kansas Jayhawks 21

Missouri Tigers 38, Kansas Jayhawks 21 – Missouri covered the -4 spread and the game went over the 51.5 total, finishing at 59 points.

Missouri Tigers vs. Kansas Jayhawks final score and game recap

Neither team scored in the first quarter. The second quarter erupted with both sides adding 14 points, leaving halftime tied at 14-14. Missouri pulled away in the third, outscoring Kansas 14-7 to lead 28-21. A 10-point fourth quarter sealed a 38-21 victory.

Who covered the spread in Missouri Tigers vs. Kansas Jayhawks?

Missouri Tigers covered the -4 spread, winning by 17 points. The line opened at Kansas +5.5 and closed at Kansas +4, a 1.5-point shift toward the Jayhawks. AiQ's spread pick was Missouri -4 at 59% confidence and graded as a win.

Did Missouri Tigers vs. Kansas Jayhawks go over or under the total?

The game went over the 51.5 total, finishing with 59 points—an over by 7.5. The total opened at 50.5 and moved up to 51.5. AiQ's total pick was Over 51.5 at 62% confidence and graded as a win.

How did AiQ's Missouri Tigers vs. Kansas Jayhawks predictions do?

AiQ finished 4-2 on this game.

AiQ nailed the straight-up, spread and total selections but missed both player-prop wagers, resulting in a net loss on the prop tickets.

Missouri Tigers vs. Kansas Jayhawks player prop results

AiQ went 1-2 on player props, netting a -$121.87 loss on $100 per pick.

Missouri Tigers vs. Kansas Jayhawks odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The moneyline closed at Missouri -198 and Kansas +162, implying a 64% win probability for Missouri after vigorish removal. The bookmaker's margin sat at 4.6%. Missouri's -198 price paid $50.51 on a $100 wager. AiQ's pre-game expected value for the moneyline was -4.0% at -192—a negative-EV price despite favoring Missouri. The market's implied probability of 63% matched AiQ's calibrated estimate. Spread money shifted 1.5 points toward Kansas, yet Missouri still covered.

Missouri Tigers sit 2-0 overall with a 1-0 home record and 1-0 away/neutral record. They are 1-0 against the spread and 1-0 over the total in games with recorded closing lines. The Tigers have won two straight games.

Kansas Jayhawks are 1-1 overall, both games at home. They are 0-1 against the spread and 1-0 over the total in games with recorded closing lines. The sample size is small.

What's next for Missouri Tigers and Kansas Jayhawks?

Missouri hosts Troy Trojans on Saturday, September 19. Kansas hosts Arizona State Sun Devils on Saturday, September 19.