Mississippi State Bulldogs defeat Minnesota Golden Gophers 38-13: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · NCAAF · Mississippi State Bulldogs 38, Minnesota Golden Gophers 13
Mississippi State defeated Minnesota 38-13, covering the -1.5 spread and finishing under 53.5.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers final score and game recap
Mississippi State built a 14-3 lead after the first quarter, then outscored Minnesota 14-3 in the second to reach 28-6 at halftime. Minnesota added a touchdown in the third quarter to cut the deficit to 31-13, then Mississippi State scored 7 points in the fourth quarter to finish 38-13. The Bulldogs scored in every quarter; Minnesota went scoreless in the fourth.
Who covered the spread in Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers?
Mississippi State covered the -1.5 spread, winning by 25 points. AiQ backed Minnesota at +1.5 with 59% confidence and lost the pick.
Did Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers go over or under the total?
The game finished under 53.5, combining for 51 points. AiQ favored the over at 62% confidence and lost.
How did AiQ's Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers predictions do?
AiQ went 0-5 on this game:
- Moneyline: Minnesota Golden Gophers — LOSS
- Spread: Minnesota Golden Gophers +1.5 — LOSS
- Total: Over 53.5 — LOSS
- Player props: 0-2 — LOSS
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers player prop results
AiQ was 0-2 on player props, losing $200 total:
- Kamario Taylor (Mississippi State Bulldogs) under 1.5 passing touchdowns at -156; actual 3 — LOSS
- Drake Lindsey (Minnesota Golden Gophers) over 1.5 passing touchdowns at -108; actual 0 — LOSS
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers odds: sportsbook value and line movement
AiQ's moneyline expectation was -3.9% at -110, a negative-expected-value price despite favoring the side. The market implied 50% win probability after vigorish removal, matching AiQ's calibrated estimate.
Mississippi State Bulldogs and Minnesota Golden Gophers betting trends: 2026 season
Mississippi State is 2-0 overall with a 1-0 record against the spread and 1-0 over/under record. Minnesota sits 1-1 overall, both games at home.
What's next for Mississippi State Bulldogs and Minnesota Golden Gophers?
Mississippi State travels to South Carolina on Saturday, September 19. Minnesota hosts Akron the same day.