Colorado Rockies defeat San Diego Padres 9-3: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Tue, Sep 15, 2026 · MLB · San Diego Padres 3, Colorado Rockies 9

Colorado Rockies defeated San Diego Padres 9–3 on Tuesday at Coors Field, covering the +1.5 spread and going over the 11-run total to 12 combined runs.

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies final score and game recap

The Padres scored in the first and second innings to reach 2–0, but Colorado answered with two runs in the third to tie the game 2–2. San Diego regained the advantage 3–2 in the fifth, setting up a decisive sixth inning where the Rockies erupted for five runs to seize control at 7–3. Two additional runs in the seventh sealed a 9–3 final.

Walker Buehler started for San Diego and Ryan Feltner for Colorado. The game was decided by Colorado's offensive surge in the middle innings after the Padres had briefly taken the lead.

Who covered the spread in San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies?

Colorado Rockies covered as +1.5 underdogs, winning outright by six runs and far exceeding the margin required. The spread held steady from open to close. AiQ's pick on San Diego Padres -1.5 with 58% confidence resulted in a loss.

Did San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies go over or under the total?

The game went over the 11-run total, finishing at 12 runs. The total opened at 11.5 and moved down half a run to 11 before kickoff. AiQ's selection of Over 11.5 with 62% confidence was a winner.

How did AiQ's San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies predictions do?

AiQ finished 1–2 across its graded selections:

The model correctly anticipated the high-scoring nature of the game but missed both the moneyline and spread by backing the favorite and the wrong side of the line.

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The closing moneyline was San Diego Padres -199 and Colorado Rockies +164, implying a 64% win probability for San Diego and 36% for Colorado after removing the vig. The bookmaker's margin sat at 4.4%. Colorado's +164 price paid $164 on a $100 wager.

AiQ's calibrated estimate for San Diego was 63%, matching the market's implied probability, but the best available price of -188 represented negative expected value. AiQ did not find value despite liking the side.

San Diego sits at 80–68 overall, 44–28 at home and 36–40 on the road. In 120 games with a recorded spread, they are 63–57 against the spread, and 55 overs, 62 unders. Their last five results read loss, win, win, win, win.

Colorado trails at 55–94 overall, 31–41 at home and 24–53 away. Over 125 games with a spread, they are 64–61 against the spread, and 61 overs, 60 unders. Their recent five results are win, loss, loss, loss, loss.

What's next for San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies?

The Padres return to Colorado on Thursday, September 17, for another road test. The Rockies will host the Padres that same night.