Cleveland Guardians defeat Chicago White Sox 7-6: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Tue, Sep 15, 2026 · MLB · Chicago White Sox 6, Cleveland Guardians 7

Cleveland defeated Chicago 7–6 on Tuesday at Progressive Field, covering the -1.5 spread while the game sailed over the 9-run total at 13 combined runs.

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians final score and game recap

The Guardians led 3–0 after the first inning. Chicago scored once in the fourth and again in the fifth, then erupted for four runs in the sixth to take a 6–5 lead. Cleveland answered with two runs in the ninth to win 7–6. Chris Murphy started for Chicago and Foster Griffin for Cleveland.

Who covered the spread in Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians?

Chicago covered the +1.5 spread despite losing. Cleveland, favored at -1.5, won by exactly one run, leaving the underdog to beat the line. The spread held steady at Cleveland -1.5 from open to close. AiQ's pick of Cleveland -1.5 at 59% confidence lost.

Did Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians go over or under the total?

The game went over the 9-run total, finishing at 13 runs. The total opened at 8.5 and moved to 9. AiQ selected Over 9 at 58% confidence and won.

How did AiQ's Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians predictions do?

AiQ finished 2–1 across graded picks:

AiQ correctly identified the Guardians as winners and the game's high-scoring nature but missed the spread, which hinged on a one-run margin.

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The closing moneyline was Chicago at +132 and Cleveland at -157, implying 41% and 59% win probabilities respectively after vigorish removal. The bookmaker's margin was 4.2%. Cleveland's -157 moneyline paid $63.69 on a $100 wager. AiQ's pre-game expected value for the Guardians at -150 was –2.9%, indicating the price was slightly unfavorable despite the model's 58% confidence aligning with the market's implied probability. No value claim is made for the spread or total due to unavailable juice details.

Chicago White Sox are 76–73 overall through 149 games, with a 43–31 home record and 33–42 away/neutral. Against the spread in 109 games with a recorded closing line, they are 71–38. In 110 total-line games, they went over 61 times and finished under 47 times. Their last five results: loss, win, loss, win, loss.

Cleveland Guardians are 74–74 overall through 148 games, with a 37–39 home record and 37–35 away/neutral. Against the spread in 121 games, they are 56–65. In 121 total-line games, they went over 61 times and finished under 60 times. Their last five results: win, loss, win, loss, win.

What's next for Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians?

Chicago hosts Detroit on Thursday, September 17. Cleveland hosts Athletics on Friday, September 18.