San Diego Padres defeat Colorado Rockies 8-7: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Mon, Sep 14, 2026 · MLB · San Diego Padres 8, Colorado Rockies 7

San Diego defeated Colorado 8–7 on Monday at Coors Field. The Rockies covered the +1.5 spread despite the loss, while the game went over the 11-run total, finishing at 15 combined runs.

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies final score and game recap

The Padres built a 6–2 lead through five innings, scoring one in the first and four in the second. Colorado answered with a run in the fifth, then three straight in the sixth to cut the deficit to one. San Diego added a run in the seventh and another in the eighth to secure the 8–7 win. Casey Mize and Tomoyuki Sugano started for their respective teams, but the offenses drove the outcome—San Diego's early advantage narrowed to a single run by game's end.

Who covered the spread in San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies?

Colorado Rockies covered the +1.5 spread. San Diego, favored at -1.5, won by exactly one run, leaving the underdog on the money. The line held steady at Colorado Rockies +1.5 from open to close. AiQ picked San Diego Padres -1.5 at 59% confidence and graded as a loss.

Did San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies go over or under the total?

The game went over the 11 total, finishing with 15 runs. The closing total remained at 11 with no movement. AiQ selected Over 11 at 66% confidence and earned a win.

How did AiQ's San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies predictions do?

AiQ finished 2–1 across the graded picks.

AiQ correctly identified the winner and the high-scoring nature of the contest but missed the margin, misjudging how close the final result would be.

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The Padres entered as -216 favorites, implying a 66% win probability after vig removal, while Colorado was +178 at 34%. The bookmaker's margin on the moneyline was 4.3%. A $100 wager on San Diego paid $46.30. AiQ's pre-game expected value calculation used a -205 line, translating to -4.3% EV—an unfavorable price despite backing the favorite. The implied market probability of 64% matched AiQ's calibrated estimate, showing alignment on true likelihood even though the price offered negative expected value.

San Diego sits at 80-67 overall, 44-28 at home and 36-39 on the road. In 119 games with a recorded spread, they are 63-56 against the spread. The Padres have won their last five games and are riding an eight-game winning streak.

Colorado sits at 54-94 overall, 30-41 at home and 24-53 away. Their against-the-spread record in 124 games is 63-61. The Rockies have dropped their last five contests and are on an eight-game losing streak.

What's next for San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies?

The Padres and Rockies meet again Thursday, September 17.