New York Yankees defeat Minnesota Twins 8-3: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Mon, Sep 14, 2026 · MLB · New York Yankees 8, Minnesota Twins 3

The New York Yankees defeated the Minnesota Twins 8–3 on Monday at Target Field, covering the -1.5 spread and the game went over the 8.5 total. The Yankees scored just once through five innings before erupting for six runs in the eighth to put the game out of reach.

New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins final score and game recap

New York built an early lead with a third-inning run, then held Minnesota scoreless through five frames. The Twins scored two runs in the sixth to take a 2-1 lead, but the Yankees' eighth-inning surge—six runs in a single frame—proved decisive. A ninth-inning run sealed the 8–3 victory for the road team.

Who covered the spread in New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins?

The New York Yankees covered the -1.5 spread, winning by five runs and exceeding the line by 3.5. The spread held steady from open to close at -1.5 / +1.5.

AiQ's spread pick on New York at -1.5 with 59% confidence resulted in a win.

Did New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins go over or under the total?

The game went over the 8.5 total, finishing with 11 runs—2.5 runs above the line.

AiQ had taken the under 8 with 54% confidence, which resulted in a loss.

How did AiQ's New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins predictions do?

AiQ finished 2–1 across the graded picks.

AiQ correctly identified the Yankees as the moneyline favorite and spread winner but misjudged the run total, betting the under when the game produced a high-scoring eighth inning.

New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The closing moneyline was -131 for the Yankees and +109 for the Twins, implying a 54% win probability after the vig was removed. The bookmaker's margin on the moneyline was 4.6%. A $100 wager on New York at -131 returned $76.34 in profit.

AiQ's pre-game expected value calculation placed the Yankees at a -1.8% edge at -125, indicating the model liked the side but found the price slightly unfavorable.

The Yankees sit at 86–62 overall, with a 42–32 record at home and 44–30 on the road. In 123 games with a recorded closing spread, they covered 66 times and missed 57. Their total line record in the same sample shows 56 games went over, 64 finished under. They have won their last two games.

The Twins sit at 70–78 overall, with a 39–37 home record and 31–41 away. They have covered 57 of 113 spread bets and missed 56. Against the total, they went over 64 times and finished under 43 in the same sample. They have lost their last two games.

What's next for New York Yankees and Minnesota Twins?

The Yankees travel to Arizona to face the Diamondbacks on Friday, September 18. The Twins head west to take on the Angels in Los Angeles on Thursday, September 17.