Chicago Cubs defeat Atlanta Braves 7-3: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Mon, Sep 14, 2026 · MLB · Atlanta Braves 3, Chicago Cubs 7

Chicago Cubs defeated Atlanta Braves 7-3 at Wrigley Field on Monday, September 14, covering the -1.5 spread. The game finished at 10 runs, going over the 9.5 total.

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs final score and game recap

The Cubs built a 5-0 lead by the end of the third inning, scoring three runs in the second and two more in the third. Atlanta managed no runs through six innings before breaking through in the seventh with three runs.

Reynaldo Lopez started for Atlanta, David Peterson for Chicago.

Who covered the spread in Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs?

Chicago Cubs covered -1.5, winning by four runs. The spread held at Chicago Cubs -1.5 from open to close.

AiQ backed Atlanta Braves +1.5 with 56% confidence and graded the pick as a loss.

Did Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs go over or under the total?

The game went over 9.5, finishing at 10 runs. Scoring clustered in the second (three runs), third (two), sixth (two), and seventh (three) innings.

AiQ took the under 9.5 with 62% confidence. The pick lost.

How did AiQ's Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs predictions do?

AiQ finished 1-2 across graded picks.

The model correctly identified Chicago as the winner but missed both the spread and total.

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The closing moneyline had Atlanta at +115 and Chicago at -137, implying a 45% win probability for the Braves and 55% for the Cubs after vig removal. The bookmaker's margin sat at 4.3%.

AiQ's pre-game expected value for the Cubs was -2.0% at -125 (best price at BetRivers). The market's implied 54% probability matched AiQ's calibrated estimate, so the price offered no edge.

Atlanta sits at 86-63 overall, 50-27 at home and 36-36 on the road. The Braves are 60-56 against the spread in 116 games and have gone over 51 times in 118 total-line games, finishing under 61 times. They have lost two straight after winning three in a row.

Chicago stands at 81-67, 42-32 at home and 39-35 away. The Cubs are 61-56 against the spread in 117 games and have gone over 62 times in 117 total games, finishing under 53 times. Their last five results: W, L, W, W, L.

What's next for Atlanta Braves and Chicago Cubs?

Atlanta travels to Houston to face the Astros on Friday, September 18. Chicago heads to Cincinnati to play the Reds the same day.