Pittsburgh Pirates defeat Chicago Cubs 4-3: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · MLB · Pittsburgh Pirates 4, Chicago Cubs 3

Pittsburgh Pirates defeated Chicago Cubs 4–3 at Wrigley Field on Sunday, September 13. The Pirates covered the +1.5 spread as underdogs and won outright. The total landed exactly on 7, resulting in a push.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs final score and game recap

The Pirates scored first in the opening inning and led 1-0 into the fifth. Pittsburgh rallied in the sixth, plating three runs to seize a 4-3 lead that held through the final three innings. Starting pitchers Bubba Chandler and Matthew Boyd worked the early frames, but the decisive action came after the midpoint of the game.

Who covered the spread in Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs?

Pittsburgh Pirates covered the +1.5 spread. Chicago Cubs were 1.5-run favorites and lost by one run, giving the underdog an outright win. The line remained at Chicago Cubs -1.5 from open to close. AiQ selected Chicago Cubs -1.5 with 59% confidence and recorded a loss.

Did Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs go over or under the total?

The game resulted in a push on the total of 7 runs. The combined score landed exactly on the closing total after the Pirates' three-run sixth inning and the Cubs' three runs earlier. The total opened at 6.5 and moved up 0.5 to 7 before the game. AiQ had selected Over 7 with 58% confidence, which recorded as a push.

How did AiQ's Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs predictions do?

AiQ went 0–2–1 on this game.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The closing moneyline was Pittsburgh Pirates +139 and Chicago Cubs -168, implying a 40% win probability for Pittsburgh and 60% for Chicago after removing vig. The bookmaker's vig was 4.5%. Pittsburgh's victory paid $139 on a $100 wager. The market's implied 60% probability for Chicago matched AiQ's calibrated estimate, yet the underdog prevailed.

The Pirates sit at 75–74 overall through 149 games, with a 38–34 home record and 37–40 away/neutral record. Against the spread in 119 games with a recorded line, they are 50–69. Over/under in those same 119 games is 58 overs, 54 unders, and 7 pushes. Their last five results are W, L, L, W, W.

The Cubs are 80–67 overall through 147 games, with a 41–32 home record and 39–35 away/neutral record. Their ATS record in 116 games with a closing spread is 60–56. Over/under in those 116 games is 61 overs, 53 unders, and 2 pushes. Their recent form is L, W, W, L, L.

What's next for Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago Cubs?

The Pirates host the Milwaukee Brewers on Thursday, September 17. The Cubs travel to Cincinnati to face the Reds on Friday, September 18.