Cincinnati Reds defeat Milwaukee Brewers 4-3: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · MLB · Cincinnati Reds 4, Milwaukee Brewers 3

Cincinnati Reds beat the Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 on Sunday at American Family Field, covering the +1.5 spread while the combined total of 7 runs fell under the 8-run line.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers final score and game recap

The Brewers built a 2–0 lead in the second inning and held it through five frames. Cincinnati broke through in the sixth with three runs to take a 3–2 advantage. Milwaukee tied it 3–3 in the seventh, but the Reds scored once more in the eighth to seal a 4–3 victory. Chase Burns started for Cincinnati and Robert Gasser for Milwaukee, but the game turned on Cincinnati's sixth-inning outburst and its ability to add insurance in the eighth.

Who covered the spread in Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers?

The Cincinnati Reds covered the +1.5 spread by winning outright. The closing line remained Milwaukee Brewers –1.5 from open to close. AiQ had taken the Brewers at –1.5 with 62% confidence and graded that pick as a loss.

Did Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers go over or under the total?

The game finished at 7 runs, under the 8-run line. The closing total stayed at 8. AiQ had backed the over with 54% confidence, resulting in a loss.

How did AiQ's Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers predictions do?

AiQ went 0–3 on this contest.

The model correctly identified the Brewers as favorites but missed both the outright result and the total outcome.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers odds: sportsbook value and line movement

Betting lines opened with Cincinnati at +165 and Milwaukee at -200, implying win probabilities of 36% and 64% after vigorish removal. The vig on the moneyline was 4.4%. AiQ's pre-game moneyline expectation was -180, a price that carried negative expected value on the Milwaukee Brewers side.

The Reds sit at 69–79 overall through 148 games, with a 35–38 home record and 34–41 on the road. Against the spread in 113 games with a recorded closing line, they are 57–56. They have finished over 62 times and finished under 50 times. Their last five games read W, L, L, L, L.

The Brewers stand at 90-56 overall through 146 games, with a 50-25 home record and 40-31 away. Against the spread in 119 games with a recorded closing line, they are 61-58. Their recent form is L, W, W, W, W.

What's next for Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers?

The Cincinnati Reds will host the Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday, September 17. The Milwaukee Brewers travel to Pittsburgh to face the Pirates on the same day.