St. Louis Cardinals defeat Chicago White Sox 3-1: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · MLB · Chicago White Sox 1, St. Louis Cardinals 3

St. Louis Cardinals defeated Chicago White Sox 3-1 on Sunday at Busch Stadium, covering the +1.5 spread as an underdog. The game finished under the 8.5 total.

Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals final score and game recap

Sean Burke and Michael McGreevy matched each other through five innings, with Chicago holding a 1-0 lead after scoring in the second. The Cardinals broke through in the sixth, plating three runs to seize a 3-1 advantage that held through the final two frames. The decisive inning reversed a game that had been defined by pitcher control and offensive silence.

Who covered the spread in Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals?

St. Louis Cardinals covered the +1.5 spread. The line remained at Chicago -1.5 from open to close. AiQ's pick of St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 at 58% confidence graded as a win.

Did Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals go over or under the total?

The game went under the 8.5 total, finishing with four combined runs. The total opened at 8 and moved up half a run before kickoff. AiQ's over pick at 8.5 with 57% confidence resulted in a loss.

How did AiQ's Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals predictions do?

AiQ finished 1-2 across graded picks:

The model identified the Cardinals as spread value but missed both the moneyline and the run total.

Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The moneyline closed at Chicago -127 and St. Louis +107, implying 54% and 46% win probabilities respectively after vig removal. The market's margin sat at 4.3%. A $100 wager on St. Louis at +107 returned $107 profit when the Cardinals won outright.

AiQ's pregame moneyline expectation for Chicago at -120 represented a negative-EV price. The model liked the side but not the offered odds.

Chicago White Sox sit at 75-72 overall through 147 games. At home they are 43-31; on the road, 32-41. Their against-the-spread record stands at 69-38 in 107 games with a closing spread. They went over 59 times and finished under 47 times in 108 total-line games. The White Sox have dropped four of their last five.

St. Louis Cardinals are 74-75 after 149 games. Their home record is 36-38; away/neutral, 38-37. They are 62-49 against the spread in 111 games with a closing spread and went under 60 times versus over 46 in 111 total-line games. The Cardinals have won two of their last five.

What's next for Chicago White Sox and St. Louis Cardinals?

The White Sox return home to face the Detroit Tigers on Thursday, September 17. The Cardinals host the Washington Nationals on Friday, September 18.