Philadelphia Phillies defeat Atlanta Braves 9-4: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · MLB · Philadelphia Phillies 9, Atlanta Braves 4
Philadelphia Phillies defeated Atlanta Braves 9–4 on Sunday at Truist Park, covering the +1.5 spread as an underdog. The game went over the 9.5 total, finishing with 13 combined runs.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves final score and game recap
Atlanta struck first with a run in the opening inning, but Philadelphia answered with two runs in the second to take a 2-1 lead. The score held through five innings.
Who covered the spread in Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves?
Philadelphia Phillies covered the +1.5 spread, winning outright by five runs. The spread remained static at Atlanta -1.5 from open to close. AiQ's pick of Philadelphia +1.5 at 58% confidence graded as a win.
Did Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves go over or under the total?
The game went over the 9.5 total, finishing with 13 runs. The total opened at 8.5 and moved up one run to 9.5. AiQ's pick of Over 9 at 57% confidence won.
How did AiQ's Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves predictions do?
AiQ finished 2–1 across graded picks:
- Moneyline: Atlanta Braves -130 – LOSS
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 – WIN
- Total: Over 9 – WIN
The model correctly identified the spread and total outcomes but missed the moneyline, backing the favorite at a price that did not materialize.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The Phillies' +110 price meant a $100 wager paid $110 profit. AiQ's pre-game moneyline estimate was 55% versus the market's 54%, but the best available price was -125, which carried negative expected value of -1.6%. The model liked the side but not the price.
Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves betting trends: 2026 season
Philadelphia sits at 82-66 overall, split evenly between home (41-33) and away (41-33). Their last five results: W, L, L, L, W.
Atlanta stands at 86-62 overall, strong at home (50-27) but middling on the road (36-35). Their last five results: L, W, W, W, L.
What's next for Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves?
Philadelphia travels to New York to face the Mets on Thursday, September 17. Atlanta heads to Houston for a matchup with the Astros on Friday, September 18.